As the game unfolded the other night against Tampa, it marked the 16th game of the season that we had begun without our all-star Andrei Markov. It may not sound like much, but it's the first time since Andrei made the NHL grade that he has missed more than 15 games in a single season.
In the past sometimes, it seemed like an injury to Markov was a one-way ticket to losing streak. However, this time around, the Canadiens have done an OK job of battling for points and scrounging some wins. As we descend into the next 30 games without Andrei, I thought I'd take a glance at some of the stats with and without him manning the back line.
Winning and losing
It's sometimes hard to test the value of any given player, because the experiment consists of so many variables. Even with a mere 24 game sample from the regular season and a lone playoff series, I don't think we'd be reaching a false conclusion if we suggested the Canadiens are a much worse outfit without Andrei Markov. Really the stats speak for themselves:
24 games, 5 wins, 19 losses, 13 points. It's not flattering for the rest of the guys is it? Certainly when you compare that record to the record with him in the lineup over the same period (168-107-30 for 366 points).
If you pro-rate the stats to an 82-game schedule the Habs from 2005-09 without Markov would have been a pitiful 44 point outfit (17-55-10) – not seen since the days of expansion newbies and Pittsburgh dogging it. With him in the lineup, their pro-rated points total would be a solid 96-point group (45-29-6).
But the impact goes well beyond the wins and losses. As you can see from the limited sample, what has tended to happen when Markov has been missing has shown his talent at both ends of the ice. In the 24 previous games, goals for dropped by one full goal per 60 minutes, while goals against rose by an equally remarkable 0.7 per game.
Special teams
Being that Markov is an all-star who perennially flirts with the scoring lead among defenceman, it's perhaps not surprising to see a drop in PP efficiency wen he's not around to distribute. But take a look at the PK in his absence – a reminder of his second personality:
With the best overall PP in both 2006-07 and 2007-08, and a pretty decent scoring clip before and after, it's pretty safe to say that Markov is one of the premier QBs of the circuit. In fact, you get 5 PPs with Markov in a game, you'd be disappointed not to score a goal.
The Canadiens, however, have been blessed with some insulation for Markov on the PP at times – Souray and Streit, for example in 2006-07 – so his absence has cost but not too too drastically. Glance at the PK situation without Markov, though, and get an idea of what he means at the defensive end. Whether it be quick movement and anticipation, or using his passing skills to find the way out of the zone, his skills on the PK have been missed to the tune of nearly 12.5%. If you translate that to a whole season – with about 360 penalties – you're talking about 45 goals.
I suppose a forward moving to the point is much less of a downgrade than having a 5th defender playing with regularity on a penalty kill.
2009-10
This season, Markov was lost to serious injury a mere 50 minutes in. Given our understanding of the previous 24 games without him, there was understandable gloom at the time. I certainly felt some major doubts.
If you look across the stats, you can see that the PP is suffering as much if not more than it has ever done, but that goalscoring is holding truer. You can see that PK is sub-standard, but still within a few goals of the Markov standard and the overall goals against have been holding closer as well. You can fret about each of those, especially compared to league averages. Nonetheless, here we stand 17 games in, and 6 weeks closer to February, with 16 points from 17 games. Not great, perhaps, but a minor miracle given the precedent.
I think it speaks a little bit to some of the moves that were made over the summer (many of which have received a proper thrashing from fans), specifically:
1) Gionta
He's been a goalscorer from unconventional plays which has helped and a solid contributor up front. What's more, he's been able to tip the ice in the Habs favour by a large margin thus far.
2) Spacek
I said I liked the signing at the time, but I didn't really know what to expect. Well, he's no Markov on the PP (not even close), but he eats minutes and has been on the ice for 22 more chances at even strength than he has allowed, and 41 overall.
3) Letting Bouillon go
A hard move to put through given his popularity and his familiarity with the RDS crew, but one that needed to be made. Last season he was on the ice for a GA every 20 minutes he played. Had he been under contract as a #6 this year, that'd be a goal a game. I don't want to disparage a player I loved, but I think his last legs were correctly recognised.
As I said, there weren't miracles here, just quiet steps in the general direction. Could a team really be as bad as the Habs have been without Markov in the past over a sustained period? Hard to say. I don't think after the 0-7-1 end to last season, anyone would have asked to put it to the test.
I think if anything good is to come from this injury to Andrei it will be the shedding of an over-reliance on a single player in all aspects of play. Perhaps when he comes back he can be introduced gradually, rather than straight into 30 minutes a night.
Who misses Markov most?
Finally, I wanted to note that though we all miss Markov, none might miss him more than Carey Price and Jaroslav Halak. If only for his poise on the PK alone, Carey might have added 100 points to his sub-standard PK save rating, and he and Halak might have been able to count on zone clearances actually happening.
Showing posts with label 2008. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2008. Show all posts
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Thursday, November 20, 2008
What Is Carbo After?
Lines That Make Sense Vs The Crapshoot
What Is Carbo After?
Lines That Make Sense Vs The Crapshoot
Today's article from The H Does Not Stand For Habs has prompted me to do a piece I have been putting off for a long time. I find her revelations similar to mine, but a little out of kilter.
A little while ago, I found this website that provides some great statistical breakdowns to look at. One of my favourites, and the one I have been gravitating to recently is the analysis of goals scored while a given player is on the ice (only available at even strength).
This statistical obscurity may sound trivial, but I think there is something to it. For on thing, it tends to confirm what I see from a subjective point of view. For another thing, lines are built for even strength – and so these stats are highly relevant for the discussion of line pairings. It looks at team goals when a player is on the ice rather than individual points. Ultimately this is more reflective of my goal for the player – to be on the ice for (and thus part of) a lot of Habs goals, regardless of whether he touches the puck.
In her article, JT had two revelations that took me aback.
The first, and this was news to me: Andrei Kostitsyn is clearly a right winger:
Forgive me for being a skeptic, but despite Andrei's decent play the past few games – he was far better at point last year when playing the left wing! Her conclusion that Kostitsyn is more vibrant with Lang and his brother was plain to see, and the statistics play it out too. But could it be due to something other than a switch to right wing. After all (and good scientists in the readership will have noticed) a lot of variables were changed in the move – different centre, different winger, more responsibility, less shadowing, etc.
Personally, I don't think Andrei is better as a right wing. He is better when he is free to do what he wishes, and when he gets a bit of the puck. At least, that's what I've seen.
Her second revelation was equally as puzzling to me – Kovalev is back to 2006-07 form:
Now forgive JT again for being contrary, but I thought Kovalev actually played pretty well two nights ago. If I were to be entrusted the keys to the dome (won't happen anytime soon, I've been told), he was on my list of contenders.
Her observation was of course correct form the statistical point of view – but then again there was only a solitary goal on Tuesday to feed the stats. But I still can't accept that it is Alex dragging down every player he plays with, even in a slump like this one.
Looked to the stats
Having been in these arguments before with bloggers (particularly about Kovalev), I know I have to bring more to the table than a subjective view on the game. Else I only get the retort: "I watched the game too!". For that reason, I summoned the statistical breakdownery of that wonderful website I mentioned before. It being kind enough to show scoring rates at even strength (per 20 minutes), productivity of pairs of players with and without each other, and keep an archive back as far as I require it today. Without further ado:
Goals on ice for per 20 min (ES all linemates)
While these stats are certainly interesting, and give credence to the Kovalev drag theory. Take a look at the same stats for the three together and apart:
Goals on ice for per 20 min (ES with specific linemates)
The first thing I notice from the stats is that both Kovalev and Plekanec are down. The season is early, so we'll have to see if they're just slumping or actually deteriorating.
The second thing I see is that Kovalev was not dragging down the "first line from last season". Playing with Kovalev this season, Kostitsyn's pace was actually up (I look at Kostitsyn because he was the first piece to be removed from the line, both through injury and line change – removing him was the end of the line).
Last year for the first time in living memory, we had a first line that worked. Each player (more or less) played better with the linemates than without. particularly striking is how well Kostitsyn and Kovalev fed the offence when on the ice together. This probably cost Andrei some goals, but helped the team totals massively. Can we ignore the success of last year after a few bad games?
I also look at the Kovalev drag differently. In fact, I'd say that this season, rather than Kovalev dragging the line down, Kostitsyn was dragging it up. Evidence from team goals at even strength show they happen more often when he is on the ice with most players. Look at Kovalev and Plekanec who haven't been on ice for an even strength goal in his absence. That's 73 minutes for Plek and nearly 100 minutes for Kovalev.
So by taking Kostistyn off line 1, he lost a line ticking at about 1.25 goals every 20 minutes (so a goal a game at their ice time) and completely neutralised Kovalev and Plekanec – his two best scorers from last season. He's made Lang and Sergei Kostitsyn better.
You tell me, is that maximising your assets??
The real question for Carbonneau goes deeper. Plekanec and Kovalev won't put up a duck for the rest of the season, so their dramatic difference with and without Andrei will close. But, Guy needs to ask who the focal point of the attack should be.
I see a few clear choices:
1) Kovalev
2) A Kostitsyn
3) Koivu
4) Tanguay
If the stats above tell us anything, it's that you can't make a super line without A Kostitsyn. He is an enabler. So, if it's super line we're after, why not Andrei with the suddenly dysfunctional Tanguay/Koivu duo. If it's a 2-line attack he wants then he must reunite Andrei with Kovalev and Plekanec and tinker with Tanguay/Koivu (maybe, I dunno their partner in success Latendresse?).
His waffling is costing the team right now. The one thing that was going right early on (the offence) has now come into question and all through needless tinkering. He talks about someone taking the team by the hand right now, but isn't that his job?
So what do you all think? Reunite the old line or AK46 with Saku and Tangs?
Let's beat those Sens, regardless of the answer.
A little while ago, I found this website that provides some great statistical breakdowns to look at. One of my favourites, and the one I have been gravitating to recently is the analysis of goals scored while a given player is on the ice (only available at even strength).
This statistical obscurity may sound trivial, but I think there is something to it. For on thing, it tends to confirm what I see from a subjective point of view. For another thing, lines are built for even strength – and so these stats are highly relevant for the discussion of line pairings. It looks at team goals when a player is on the ice rather than individual points. Ultimately this is more reflective of my goal for the player – to be on the ice for (and thus part of) a lot of Habs goals, regardless of whether he touches the puck.
In her article, JT had two revelations that took me aback.
The first, and this was news to me: Andrei Kostitsyn is clearly a right winger:
He has always been a right winger, and the only reason he was a left winger last year was because Alex Kovalev is a right winger. On Lang's line, Kostitsyn is the right winger, and it was evident in his play, as one of the very few bright spots in a dismal display, that he prefers to play on his natural side. He's better there, and he should not be moved back to the left.
Forgive me for being a skeptic, but despite Andrei's decent play the past few games – he was far better at point last year when playing the left wing! Her conclusion that Kostitsyn is more vibrant with Lang and his brother was plain to see, and the statistics play it out too. But could it be due to something other than a switch to right wing. After all (and good scientists in the readership will have noticed) a lot of variables were changed in the move – different centre, different winger, more responsibility, less shadowing, etc.
Personally, I don't think Andrei is better as a right wing. He is better when he is free to do what he wishes, and when he gets a bit of the puck. At least, that's what I've seen.
Her second revelation was equally as puzzling to me – Kovalev is back to 2006-07 form:
As it stands, he's managed to mess up the Plekanec/Kostitsyn combo. With him on the wing last night, the Koivu/Tanguay duo had its worst game of the year. If he's going to drag down whatever line he's on, he's either going to have to look after his health/mental issues or sit.
Now forgive JT again for being contrary, but I thought Kovalev actually played pretty well two nights ago. If I were to be entrusted the keys to the dome (won't happen anytime soon, I've been told), he was on my list of contenders.
Her observation was of course correct form the statistical point of view – but then again there was only a solitary goal on Tuesday to feed the stats. But I still can't accept that it is Alex dragging down every player he plays with, even in a slump like this one.
Looked to the stats
Having been in these arguments before with bloggers (particularly about Kovalev), I know I have to bring more to the table than a subjective view on the game. Else I only get the retort: "I watched the game too!". For that reason, I summoned the statistical breakdownery of that wonderful website I mentioned before. It being kind enough to show scoring rates at even strength (per 20 minutes), productivity of pairs of players with and without each other, and keep an archive back as far as I require it today. Without further ado:
Goals on ice for per 20 min (ES all linemates)
| Player | 2006-07 | P2007-08 | P2008-09 |
| Kovalev | 0.726 | 1.042 | 0.637 |
| Plekanec | 0.921 | 1.017 | 0.794 |
| A Kostitsyn | 1.095 | 1.057 | 1.359 |
While these stats are certainly interesting, and give credence to the Kovalev drag theory. Take a look at the same stats for the three together and apart:
Goals on ice for per 20 min (ES with specific linemates)
| Player | Teammate | 2006-07 | 2007-08 | 2008-09 |
| Kovalev | with Plekanec | 0.815 | 1.036 | 0.841 |
| without Plekanec | 0.617 | 1.064 | 0.000 | |
| Kovalev | with A Kostitsyn | 0.265 | 1.180 | 1.155 |
| without A Kostitsyn | 0.766 | 0.714 | 0.000 | |
| Plekanec | with Kovalev | 0.815 | 1.036 | 0.841 |
| without Kovalev | 1.047 | 0.866 | 0.571 | |
| Plekanec | with A Kostitsyn | 1.382 | 1.116 | 1.250 |
| without A Kostitsyn | 0.819 | 0.759 | 0.000 | |
| A Kostitsyn | with Kovalev | 0.265 | 1.180 | 1.155 |
| without Kovalev | 1.442 | 0.475 | 1.966 | |
| A Kostitsyn | with Plekanec | 1.382 | 1.116 | 1.250 |
| without Plekanec | 0.487 | 0.842 | 1.773 |
The first thing I notice from the stats is that both Kovalev and Plekanec are down. The season is early, so we'll have to see if they're just slumping or actually deteriorating.
The second thing I see is that Kovalev was not dragging down the "first line from last season". Playing with Kovalev this season, Kostitsyn's pace was actually up (I look at Kostitsyn because he was the first piece to be removed from the line, both through injury and line change – removing him was the end of the line).
Last year for the first time in living memory, we had a first line that worked. Each player (more or less) played better with the linemates than without. particularly striking is how well Kostitsyn and Kovalev fed the offence when on the ice together. This probably cost Andrei some goals, but helped the team totals massively. Can we ignore the success of last year after a few bad games?
I also look at the Kovalev drag differently. In fact, I'd say that this season, rather than Kovalev dragging the line down, Kostitsyn was dragging it up. Evidence from team goals at even strength show they happen more often when he is on the ice with most players. Look at Kovalev and Plekanec who haven't been on ice for an even strength goal in his absence. That's 73 minutes for Plek and nearly 100 minutes for Kovalev.
So by taking Kostistyn off line 1, he lost a line ticking at about 1.25 goals every 20 minutes (so a goal a game at their ice time) and completely neutralised Kovalev and Plekanec – his two best scorers from last season. He's made Lang and Sergei Kostitsyn better.
You tell me, is that maximising your assets??
The real question for Carbonneau goes deeper. Plekanec and Kovalev won't put up a duck for the rest of the season, so their dramatic difference with and without Andrei will close. But, Guy needs to ask who the focal point of the attack should be.
I see a few clear choices:
1) Kovalev
2) A Kostitsyn
3) Koivu
4) Tanguay
If the stats above tell us anything, it's that you can't make a super line without A Kostitsyn. He is an enabler. So, if it's super line we're after, why not Andrei with the suddenly dysfunctional Tanguay/Koivu duo. If it's a 2-line attack he wants then he must reunite Andrei with Kovalev and Plekanec and tinker with Tanguay/Koivu (maybe, I dunno their partner in success Latendresse?).
His waffling is costing the team right now. The one thing that was going right early on (the offence) has now come into question and all through needless tinkering. He talks about someone taking the team by the hand right now, but isn't that his job?
So what do you all think? Reunite the old line or AK46 with Saku and Tangs?
Let's beat those Sens, regardless of the answer.
Friday, November 07, 2008
Team Ownership
For Sale Or Not, And Who To Believe
Team Ownership
For Sale Or Not, And Who To Believe
In the build up to the season, through training camp and since, hockey has provided a nice distraction to all the bad news coming out of fund management firms, banks and finance ministers the world round.
And while Canadiens fans have been treated to more good news than most on the ice, behind the scenes in the NHL owners circuit I was starting to get a sneaky feeling that something may be brewing.
So when I awoke this morning and saw this story from RDS about Jim Balsillie and the Montreal Canadiens, I can’t say I was blown away. George Gillett has come out and flatly denied the statements of devious Jim (of Nashville saviour fame). The story is so sensitive in Montreal that RDS has already changed the headline three times in a few hours and have settled on George Gillett’s denial. So, those waking up later will have to rely on my word that this all happened.
So now we have one leaked comment, probably out of context from La Presse. And we have a statement from the guy who should know best, the guy who owns and would have to sell the Canadiens. Most would give the benefit of the doubt to the defender here – the owner.
However, the question about this statement is whether we can take it at face value. George Gillett, for all his likable qualities (and recent PR about them in the North American press) has been speaking out of both sides of his mouth a bit recently. You wouldn’t have to tour the terraces at Anfield (Liverpool FC’s home ground) for very long to find someone with something negative to say about our Georgie Boy. He's admitted his embarrassment at the situation himself, in fact.
The reason: fans feel they have been lied to. George and his partner Tom Hicks (also owner of the Dallas Stars) made three pivotal promises when they took over the club:
1) They would increase the funds available for transfers
2) They would build a new stadium
3) They would not burden the club with their own personal debts
A year and a bit later, it seems they have mostly defaulted on all three promises. The transfer kitty initially jumped but was topped up almost immediately through the sale of players – bringing them back to the starting point and no extra cash layout. The stadium is on hold. And, the Americans have borrowed heavily while using the club profits to pay down the interest – exactly as they promised they wouldn’t. From the Gazette:
Incidentally, Gillett and Hicks also flatly denied claims of selling the club, which juxtaposes with the engagement of Merrill Lynch by the two men. From the Times:
There is obvious concern over broken promises; but, that to me is actually very reasonable given that no one at all, banker, businessman or doomsday merchant, predicted the global banking system to fall down.
No, the biggest concern is the third point – that Gillett operates his companies while carrying a great load of debt. Liverpool FC is in debt. The Canadiens too, are in a massive hole of debt ($240 million, in fact, as per Forbes). Rough calculations of the Habs finances show that although it is some team’s plans to pay down debt (Red Wings anyone), Gillett’s plan is to service the interest and no more.
I don’t want to be alarmist, it is common business practice to run enterprises in this way. The problem is, October showed us that what is known about business is all up in the air now. If banks can go out of business overnight, can’t venture capitalists too? Can people like Gillett continue to operate businesses as they always did without any consequences?
Is it not conceivable that sports leagues will suffer eventually from the credit crunch as well? Wouldn’t it be feasible that individuals who rely on credit to finance upwards of 50% of their empires might also have to re-adjust?
Put those two together and you have George Gillett's predicament, nice guy and brilliant owner that he has been for Montreal
So, in light of all that, should we really be surprised that rumours of selling the Habs should crop up just now?
I, for one, am not surprised. News like this was to be expected, whether true or not. I would be no more surprised if it were true than if it were a fabrication – both scenarios make sense to me.
Nor am I worried. For all the credit we give George Gillett, it is Bob Gainey who takes care of us fans. He will still be as intelligent, calculating and frugal as he is now even under the RIM tycoon. I don’t see the change of ownership as a threat to the viability of the Canadiens over the long term or to their play on the ice.
If as a fellow fan, this interests you as much as it does me, though. I suggest you keep your eyes on the British press in January of next year, as it will be very interested to see how Gillett does in refinancing his massive debt in the UK (due to come up with RBS late January) – a debt that makes the Canadiens $240 million debt looks like a pittance; and one that probably has the potential to knock two pretty big business men down if the bankers are hard on them.
If only for the good of the Canadiens, I hope that January brings good news, whether it be for Gillett or Balsillie…
As a closing thought, I will reflect on the naive days of my youth, when Molson owned the team. At that time, I was a fan who dreamt of being a club owner. I imagined club ownership to be an extension of fandom, with more decision making power. For people who spend form their own pockets to push their team over the top – for pride, for pleasure, for us.
As time has gone by, it has become increasingly clear to me that owners are not in these ventures to make a loss, or even to break even. They are in the business of owning sports franchises for one reason – making money. I don’t hold it against them. Nor will I cry for them when they don’t.
And while Canadiens fans have been treated to more good news than most on the ice, behind the scenes in the NHL owners circuit I was starting to get a sneaky feeling that something may be brewing.
So when I awoke this morning and saw this story from RDS about Jim Balsillie and the Montreal Canadiens, I can’t say I was blown away. George Gillett has come out and flatly denied the statements of devious Jim (of Nashville saviour fame). The story is so sensitive in Montreal that RDS has already changed the headline three times in a few hours and have settled on George Gillett’s denial. So, those waking up later will have to rely on my word that this all happened.
So now we have one leaked comment, probably out of context from La Presse. And we have a statement from the guy who should know best, the guy who owns and would have to sell the Canadiens. Most would give the benefit of the doubt to the defender here – the owner.
However, the question about this statement is whether we can take it at face value. George Gillett, for all his likable qualities (and recent PR about them in the North American press) has been speaking out of both sides of his mouth a bit recently. You wouldn’t have to tour the terraces at Anfield (Liverpool FC’s home ground) for very long to find someone with something negative to say about our Georgie Boy. He's admitted his embarrassment at the situation himself, in fact.
The reason: fans feel they have been lied to. George and his partner Tom Hicks (also owner of the Dallas Stars) made three pivotal promises when they took over the club:
1) They would increase the funds available for transfers
2) They would build a new stadium
3) They would not burden the club with their own personal debts
A year and a bit later, it seems they have mostly defaulted on all three promises. The transfer kitty initially jumped but was topped up almost immediately through the sale of players – bringing them back to the starting point and no extra cash layout. The stadium is on hold. And, the Americans have borrowed heavily while using the club profits to pay down the interest – exactly as they promised they wouldn’t. From the Gazette:
"Liverpool has been saddled with big debt after the takeover by Tom Hicks and George Gillett Jr., owner of the Canadiens. But that duo has been hit hard by the credit crunch and plans to build a new stadium have been put off because they haven't been able to raise the money."
Incidentally, Gillett and Hicks also flatly denied claims of selling the club, which juxtaposes with the engagement of Merrill Lynch by the two men. From the Times:
“The American businessman has been at the centre of the turmoil that has engulfed the Anfield club since he and Hicks took control. Plans to build a new stadium in Stanley Park have been shelved while the pair attempt to ride out the global economic crisis although as reported in The Times last month, they have signalled that they are ready to sell their stake at Anfield after engaging Merrill Lynch, the investment bank, to find a buyer for the club.”
There is obvious concern over broken promises; but, that to me is actually very reasonable given that no one at all, banker, businessman or doomsday merchant, predicted the global banking system to fall down.
No, the biggest concern is the third point – that Gillett operates his companies while carrying a great load of debt. Liverpool FC is in debt. The Canadiens too, are in a massive hole of debt ($240 million, in fact, as per Forbes). Rough calculations of the Habs finances show that although it is some team’s plans to pay down debt (Red Wings anyone), Gillett’s plan is to service the interest and no more.
I don’t want to be alarmist, it is common business practice to run enterprises in this way. The problem is, October showed us that what is known about business is all up in the air now. If banks can go out of business overnight, can’t venture capitalists too? Can people like Gillett continue to operate businesses as they always did without any consequences?
Is it not conceivable that sports leagues will suffer eventually from the credit crunch as well? Wouldn’t it be feasible that individuals who rely on credit to finance upwards of 50% of their empires might also have to re-adjust?
Put those two together and you have George Gillett's predicament, nice guy and brilliant owner that he has been for Montreal
So, in light of all that, should we really be surprised that rumours of selling the Habs should crop up just now?
I, for one, am not surprised. News like this was to be expected, whether true or not. I would be no more surprised if it were true than if it were a fabrication – both scenarios make sense to me.
Nor am I worried. For all the credit we give George Gillett, it is Bob Gainey who takes care of us fans. He will still be as intelligent, calculating and frugal as he is now even under the RIM tycoon. I don’t see the change of ownership as a threat to the viability of the Canadiens over the long term or to their play on the ice.
If as a fellow fan, this interests you as much as it does me, though. I suggest you keep your eyes on the British press in January of next year, as it will be very interested to see how Gillett does in refinancing his massive debt in the UK (due to come up with RBS late January) – a debt that makes the Canadiens $240 million debt looks like a pittance; and one that probably has the potential to knock two pretty big business men down if the bankers are hard on them.
If only for the good of the Canadiens, I hope that January brings good news, whether it be for Gillett or Balsillie…
As a closing thought, I will reflect on the naive days of my youth, when Molson owned the team. At that time, I was a fan who dreamt of being a club owner. I imagined club ownership to be an extension of fandom, with more decision making power. For people who spend form their own pockets to push their team over the top – for pride, for pleasure, for us.
As time has gone by, it has become increasingly clear to me that owners are not in these ventures to make a loss, or even to break even. They are in the business of owning sports franchises for one reason – making money. I don’t hold it against them. Nor will I cry for them when they don’t.
Thursday, October 16, 2008
The Elephant in the Arena
Koivu's Ice Time
The Elephant in the Arena
Koivu's Ice Time
Now that many of my peers have become syndicated members of Habs Inside/Out, I see even more need to express views that just don't get press – perhaps because they are overlooked topics, perhaps because they are difficult for people so close to the team.
Saku Koivu has started the season like a shot from a cannon (to borrow imagery from RDS). He leads the forwards in scoring and has been leading a line that now has 14 points between them in only 4 games.
The amazing thing is that he has done this with relatively limited ice time.
Time on ice
In the Toronto game, Koivu played a paltry 12:54, with 6:52 even-strength minutes, less than Kostopoulos, less than Lang. in fact, his even-strength playing time was the absolute lowest on the team. Obviously this is a bit strange for a player who looked dominant, scored three points and led the line of attack. all the more amazing is that 2 of his lines goals were produced during their limited even-strength time together.
You might excuse Carbonneau for resting Koivu to keep him at his most dynamic on the PP or to keep his veteran savvy on the PK, but Koivu has not been the number one option on either. In fact, he has been resting as much as anyone with the man down.
I would have dismissed the Toronto game as an anomaly, were it not for the very similar course of events taking place during last night's affair with Boston. In fairness, Koivu and his line did see an expanded role vs. the Toronto outing, but again they were third in line to Lang and Plekanec. In last night's game, he played 15:05 minutes in all, of which nearly 12:00 were even strength. But Lang played 17:22 and Plekanec played 21:18.
Stats suggest more playing time
I am aware that I like Koivu and his style, and that it may be what offends me is that Lang is taking ice time away from one of my personal favourites. In that vein, I took a long hard look at the statistics to see if they bore out my point of view or not – obviously they did, otherwise I wouldn't be writing this far down the piece...
So far, things have generally gone better during the periods where Koivu has been playing more. And, Koivu has made a case for his ice time with stats other than his goal and 4 assists, which include a +4 rating (highest on the team) – he has been on the ice for 8 goals for and only 1 against PP, PK or ES. In addition, he has been winning his faceoffs well – 39 of 70 so far (which, incidentally is a far cry better than Lang who we were promised would be top notch).
So subjective and objective analysis converge on this one, what gives?
The answer to that question is unclear.
To explain it all away. It is tempting to invoke the injury response for this question, but that would be erroneous since Saku and his line were actually the most utilised unit for the first game of the season in Buffalo, when they would have been at their least healthy. Since that time, they have taken a back seat to the Plekanec line on three occasions and have been the third in line behind Lang and even Lapierre on one occasion each. The same is true for the penalty box excuse (Koivu has been relatively calm with his hooking so far).
The only real explanation barring a very unlikely injury (having all seen Koivu play and excel so far) is that Carbonneau actually prefers Lang to Koivu.
Now, from evidence so far, there is no doubt that Lang makes an able second-line centre. But equally true is that Koivu has shown flashes of excellence in two of four games and that he and his linemates are all on scoring leaders. add to that all the statistical and circumstantial evidence from above.
So, the problem as I see it is that Koivu (finally been unshackled from Michael Ryder, and from Higgins if only for a short while) has finally got the opportunity to fulfill his offensive potential for the first time in near a decade. I believe that in these circumstances, time will show that Koivu is our number one consistent offensive force going forward – bold as it may be to make this statement in light of Kovalev's recent supremacy.
This is not a large scale controversy or anything (certainly not yet) – we are talking about 4 minutes on the ice. But, if it continues like this, it is precarious, because it risks marginalising our captain and the only player we are certain we can count on when April rolls around. It also puts Koivu's future decision to stay with the Habs at odds with his desire for a big role, tying us instead to an older and less emotionally invested Lang.
My suggestion (if anyone were to listen) would be to simply start using Koivu in shorthanded situations now and again and to get his line out there as the second choice in even-strength situations. This should bolster his playing time (and Tanguay's), allow the line to gel more and potentially lead to more of what we saw against Toronto.
Something to think about...
Saku Koivu has started the season like a shot from a cannon (to borrow imagery from RDS). He leads the forwards in scoring and has been leading a line that now has 14 points between them in only 4 games.
The amazing thing is that he has done this with relatively limited ice time.
Time on ice
In the Toronto game, Koivu played a paltry 12:54, with 6:52 even-strength minutes, less than Kostopoulos, less than Lang. in fact, his even-strength playing time was the absolute lowest on the team. Obviously this is a bit strange for a player who looked dominant, scored three points and led the line of attack. all the more amazing is that 2 of his lines goals were produced during their limited even-strength time together.
You might excuse Carbonneau for resting Koivu to keep him at his most dynamic on the PP or to keep his veteran savvy on the PK, but Koivu has not been the number one option on either. In fact, he has been resting as much as anyone with the man down.
I would have dismissed the Toronto game as an anomaly, were it not for the very similar course of events taking place during last night's affair with Boston. In fairness, Koivu and his line did see an expanded role vs. the Toronto outing, but again they were third in line to Lang and Plekanec. In last night's game, he played 15:05 minutes in all, of which nearly 12:00 were even strength. But Lang played 17:22 and Plekanec played 21:18.
Stats suggest more playing time
I am aware that I like Koivu and his style, and that it may be what offends me is that Lang is taking ice time away from one of my personal favourites. In that vein, I took a long hard look at the statistics to see if they bore out my point of view or not – obviously they did, otherwise I wouldn't be writing this far down the piece...
So far, things have generally gone better during the periods where Koivu has been playing more. And, Koivu has made a case for his ice time with stats other than his goal and 4 assists, which include a +4 rating (highest on the team) – he has been on the ice for 8 goals for and only 1 against PP, PK or ES. In addition, he has been winning his faceoffs well – 39 of 70 so far (which, incidentally is a far cry better than Lang who we were promised would be top notch).
So subjective and objective analysis converge on this one, what gives?
The answer to that question is unclear.
To explain it all away. It is tempting to invoke the injury response for this question, but that would be erroneous since Saku and his line were actually the most utilised unit for the first game of the season in Buffalo, when they would have been at their least healthy. Since that time, they have taken a back seat to the Plekanec line on three occasions and have been the third in line behind Lang and even Lapierre on one occasion each. The same is true for the penalty box excuse (Koivu has been relatively calm with his hooking so far).
The only real explanation barring a very unlikely injury (having all seen Koivu play and excel so far) is that Carbonneau actually prefers Lang to Koivu.
Now, from evidence so far, there is no doubt that Lang makes an able second-line centre. But equally true is that Koivu has shown flashes of excellence in two of four games and that he and his linemates are all on scoring leaders. add to that all the statistical and circumstantial evidence from above.
So, the problem as I see it is that Koivu (finally been unshackled from Michael Ryder, and from Higgins if only for a short while) has finally got the opportunity to fulfill his offensive potential for the first time in near a decade. I believe that in these circumstances, time will show that Koivu is our number one consistent offensive force going forward – bold as it may be to make this statement in light of Kovalev's recent supremacy.
This is not a large scale controversy or anything (certainly not yet) – we are talking about 4 minutes on the ice. But, if it continues like this, it is precarious, because it risks marginalising our captain and the only player we are certain we can count on when April rolls around. It also puts Koivu's future decision to stay with the Habs at odds with his desire for a big role, tying us instead to an older and less emotionally invested Lang.
My suggestion (if anyone were to listen) would be to simply start using Koivu in shorthanded situations now and again and to get his line out there as the second choice in even-strength situations. This should bolster his playing time (and Tanguay's), allow the line to gel more and potentially lead to more of what we saw against Toronto.
Something to think about...
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
98 Points
Last Season Showed How Tight Finishes Can Be
98 Points
Last Season Showed How Tight Finishes Can Be
Last season, I selected the number 96 as the safe point – the point at which I would feel the Canadiens had safely made the playoffs.
As it turns out, the Canadiens did make the playoffs and 96 points would have been enough. However, imagine the Habs had beaten the Bruins on two less occasions and the Flyers one less time, instead of the improbable sweeps they performed, and then one less win vs. the collapsing Sens. In that circumstance, the Habs would have had their 96 points, but the Bruins would have been on 98, the Flyers on 97 and the Sens on 96. The Canadiens would have been 8th, and it would not have been breathe easy time at all for that last game in Toronto.
As such, this year I am giving the Habs a further 2-point cushion. Rather, they will give it to me. If (and when) the Canadiens reach 98 points, that will be the point at which I will start looking forward to the playoffs.
Given that the team has played a good few games thus far and look to have three rather dominant lines and two extra-motivated Kostitsyns, I am optimistic that this goal is within their reach.
For the 82 games, the rate of point accumulation would be 1.2 per game to get to 98. So 6 wins out of every 10, or 6 points every 5 games. That kind of hockey is no small feat, but when you factor in points for losing (a la game 1), then it's really just a normal rate of point accrual for a winning team in the NHL.
Considering we all want and expect the team and its young core to take forward steps, then 98 points might not look right. But in my end analysis of this season, I'll be looking at playoff participation and performance in the post-season rather than improvement in regular season performance. If it's 98 points and 3+ playoff round wins, I'll be happier than 110 points and a loss to the Flyers in Round 2.
So, 79 games to go. 93 points to the goal. Go Habs Go.
As it turns out, the Canadiens did make the playoffs and 96 points would have been enough. However, imagine the Habs had beaten the Bruins on two less occasions and the Flyers one less time, instead of the improbable sweeps they performed, and then one less win vs. the collapsing Sens. In that circumstance, the Habs would have had their 96 points, but the Bruins would have been on 98, the Flyers on 97 and the Sens on 96. The Canadiens would have been 8th, and it would not have been breathe easy time at all for that last game in Toronto.
As such, this year I am giving the Habs a further 2-point cushion. Rather, they will give it to me. If (and when) the Canadiens reach 98 points, that will be the point at which I will start looking forward to the playoffs.
Given that the team has played a good few games thus far and look to have three rather dominant lines and two extra-motivated Kostitsyns, I am optimistic that this goal is within their reach.
For the 82 games, the rate of point accumulation would be 1.2 per game to get to 98. So 6 wins out of every 10, or 6 points every 5 games. That kind of hockey is no small feat, but when you factor in points for losing (a la game 1), then it's really just a normal rate of point accrual for a winning team in the NHL.
Considering we all want and expect the team and its young core to take forward steps, then 98 points might not look right. But in my end analysis of this season, I'll be looking at playoff participation and performance in the post-season rather than improvement in regular season performance. If it's 98 points and 3+ playoff round wins, I'll be happier than 110 points and a loss to the Flyers in Round 2.
So, 79 games to go. 93 points to the goal. Go Habs Go.
Thursday, October 02, 2008
Canadiens Depth Preview: The Defence (Part 1)
Following on from the preview of the forwards in the organization, I'm moving on to defenders (again, based on the list of those who have progressed as far as a training camp invite). As before, Part 1 will be big-team guys, Part 2 will be the farm system as it stands now.
Based on team lists, prospect lists and my evaluations, here is the list of defencemen in order of importance to the team:
The top-line defenders
Andrei Markov
The keystone.
Without Andrei Markov, this is a very different team. Suddenly we have players straining to play above their level on the depth chart at the back. The orchestration of the powerplay is out the window and the other team doesn't have to worry about any seeing-eye passes from the back boards to a rushing Kostitsyn.
Such are Markov's skills that when he's out our team goes to pot defensively and offensively. Fortunately for the Canadiens, the team now has Roman Hamrlik and a bit more depth. Even so, lose an elite defender like Markov and you'll notice.
But let's not harp on what will happen when he's not there. What happens when he is there?
Offensively, I pointed to the powerplay as one area of his influence. I would say it goes much further than that. I am not sure if you all remember the days when Brisebois was pretending to be our number one defenceman. During those dark days, the Canadiens were not a team be reckoned with going forward – not at all. One of the primary reasons for this was the fact the team needed three or four cracks to get into the offensive zone – teams like New Jersey never let us in. Markov has chaned all that. He does it in two ways. First, he can and does carry the puck himself (a critically important skill for gaining the zone). Second, thanks to the fact he can carry it opens up passing options for him, which he uses with exquisite efficiency.
Defensively, he's near as good. Though he gets some tough assignments, one rarely feels nervous to have Andrei manning the back lines. His bodychcking is not well-known around the league, but is proficient enough. His poke-checking and player ushering must be talked about in all pre-game talks.
Finally, Markov's a very good team man. He will play in all situations and will play with many different partners. Importantly, his partners seem to get better at his side – and he has made Komisarek over the last three seasons.
Andrei's 2007-08 Review
Roman Hamrlik
Hamrlik was a great acquisition last summer. In fact, looking back now, it looks even more sound. Consider for a moment how much Ron Hainsey is getting paid and be glad we had our top three defencemen assembled before July this year.
I think this year will be a good one for Roman. At this point in his career, one kows what to expect form Hamrlik on the ice, but this season (with a year under his belt) he will be able to assert his personality and 1000+ games experience on the young blueliners. Even by conservative estimates, our blueline will include one player with a mere 2 years cumulative experience and another with half a season, so a veteran like Hamrlik will be invaluable. Should Weber make the jump at his young age, Hamrlik will no doubt be able to regale him with tales of his early 20s in Tampa and show the youngster the ropes of life for a young European in the NHL.
It's been a while now since Hamrlik's name has been on the radar in the upper rounds of a hockey pool, but this year (should he inherit the right point position), he could turn back into powerplay anchor. He certainly has the stature and particularly the shot to make it happen. I can already see him keeping the puck alive in the zone with regularity.
Having Hamrlik around not only benefits the youngsters he can tutor, but also the workhorses Markov and Komisarek. Because he was also a number one guy, and is stil an outstanding athlete, Hamrlik can play 20 minutes or more with ease. And, because of his skil and poise, those 20 minutes become a whole third of the game where quality defence is played.
Like Markov, Hamrlik is key to the defensive lineup. When he and Markov are there, the two defencemen playing with them are better, the forwards are asked to do less on defence and the 5th and 6th defencemen can play a manageable and sensible role in the game. No one is overstretched, everyone is relaxed and comfortable.
Roman's 2007-08 Review
Mike Komisarek
I think it was in February that I declared Mike Komisarek to be the pleasant surprise of the season. By the end of the season, I had significantly downgraded that assessment. He had an excellent few steps forward, but seemed to stall and even struggle at the close.
To be far to Mike, it is worth explaining how his progress last season made him the standout of a pretty outstanding group of Montreal Canadiens for me up until the last 20 games. Firstly, he started to get it. He learned what defending effectively at the NHL level was all about. He stopped taking retaliatory penalties almost altogether, no longer made hits just to make hits (he slipped back to that vs. Lucic) and used his partner more effectively. Andrei and Mike were feeding off each other and were quickly becoming one of the best pairings NHL-wide. Secondly, he became elite at both hitting effectively and shot-blocking – leading the league at points in both categories. Finally, he was becoming a silent leader on the team.
This season, it sounds like Mike is primed and ready to go. And that's all we need from Mike really – concentration, efficiency and some crushing body checks. Playing with Markov, there is no reason to believe he would regress. If anything the precedent he has shown is that he will come into the season even better than we remember.
You can talk about Gainey building this team all you want, but Andre Savard' picking Komisarek in 2001 was brave, and in retrospect perfectly timed. Defensive defencemen of this stature take time to develop (much more than forwards), because they need to learn the game. Now that Mike has learned, it seems the team around him is also ready to blossom.
Mike's 2007-08 Review
Josh Gorges
Pleasant surprises are the best thing, aren't they? Josh Gorges comes in from the Rivet trade with a draft pick as what most thought was spare part. Following a full season with the Habs, he is firmly ensconced at number 4 on the depth chart.
Of course, we should have known better than to be surprised. Josh had NHL experience at 22, he had a Memorial Cup as a captain of the Kelowna Rockets in 2004. He was also drafted by the canny Doug Wilson who knows the WHL very very well.
Isn't it funny though how in a trade where you think you are losing a certain known quantity that it can work out that you receive the same in return. If I had to liken Gorges to a recent Canadiens player, I don't think I could find a better parallel than Rivet. Early Rivet that is. Josh is a proficient skater with a responsible and anticipatory aspect to his play. Like Rivet, he has potential going forward and can fill in occasionally, but it's not what he does best.
Again, the timing of this trade was well chosen. Now, instead of Rivet, a large salary and a massive personality on a growing young team, we have Rivet Jr. (Gorges) who will grow and learn with the rest and be ready to thrive at the same time. I look forward to watching Josh reprise his role with the Canadiens form the playoffs very soon, as it is very satisfying to watch his efficient and intelligent plays.
I should note, it will come with some relief to myself (and probably to Josh) that Gainey signed big Georges Laraque. Not because Gorges will fight any less, but because now the French commentary team will have to figure out how to pronounce his name so as to distinguich him form Georges.
Josh's 2007-08 Review
Filling out the NHL roster
Francis Bouillon
Can you believe this will be Francis' 11th year with the Canadiens organisation? We make such a fuss over that other defender being around so long, things like this slip right by.
An 11-year NHL career, much less 11 years with the Canadiens and their farm system, was probably beyond even Frank's wildest dreams after he finished the 1997-98 season with the IHL Quebec Rafales. At the time, like a few of the guys signed this summer, I'm sure Bouillon was signed to be an AHL defenceman. But in what was a dark dark time for the Canadiens farm team, he shone. 3rd on the team in points (behind Martin Gendron?? and Eric Houde??, can you believe any of it?).
All in all it's been pretty well uncelebrated over the years - Bouillon's accomplishment, that is. He pulled a bit of a Josh Gorges himself, back in the day, albeit the competition for NHL defenceman positions was not the hottest its ever been (Brisebois, Dykhuis, Laflamme).
Nonetheless, since that season, barring a brief stint in Nashville and Europe, Bouillon has provided the Canadiens with reliable defending. And, slated as the 5th defenceman, I wouldn't want much more than that. In fact, looking through the league as I currently am for my hockey pool, I don't see more than a handful of 5th defenders that could compare to Bouillon.
This season should be a good one for Bouillon as he will start knowing his place is with the final pairing. he will not need to attempt too much going forward, though any little will be much appreciated. His role is certainly diminishing with the team. But, unlike Dandenault who can't keep up with the improvement around him and Brisebois who has no excuse to cash an NHL paycheque, Bouillon holds a niche. He hits better than most, including Komi, most nights, he can skate and even sticks up for teammates when he needs to. He has deficiencies too, but that's why he's #5.
Frank's 2007-08 Review
Ryan O'Byrne
Ryan impressed a lot last season. It has been noted that he had a bit of a rough start, but that after a certain point (when he learned what the heck was going on) he was a plus player the rest of the way out.
He is still 6th on the list because of his inexperience. As the season goes on, the Ivy leaguer (gosh we have a few now), should learn and assure himself a permanent place for this season and into the forseeable future.
The reasons to like O'Byrne are numerous. First, he is a big boy - sometimes listed 6'5", other times 6'6", always 230+ lbs. Second, he plays a solid game. Soid and uncomplicated. Unlike Komisarek when he came up, O'Byrne doesn't seem to feel the need to rattle the glass every 10 seconds. He focuses on defending the net and uses his body efficiently. In that way, he sort of seems smaller than he is, but that is a mere function of expectation. Big players have been gentle and effective before (Uwe Krupp), and I get the feeling Ryan can turn on the nastiness if he absolutely needs to.
Ryan is likely going to be in the fortunate position of inheriting a place with Roman Hamrlik. Largely due to the efficacy of Josh Gorges on his own and with Bouillon, Ryan is the one who needs the big hand to hold. This should benefit O'Byrne greatly should it last, because Hamrlik is precisely the right role model (defensively that is) for him - efficient and intelligent. If Ryan puts his Ivy league education to learning Hamrlik's ways, it will be very big indeed for the Habs.
Ryan's 2007-08 Review
Yannick Weber
The week began with a bit of Weber mania. As it ends, the fickle horde have already moved on to Max Pacioretty. In my opinion, though, Weber is very much the better fit for the current team than Pacioretty. That's to take nothing away from Max.
Yannick enters the final days of camp as the lone offensive defenceman among the pledges. Markov is the boss. Hamrlik can pull weight. and Brisebois is the massive pretender, but Weber can slot right ahead of Patrice.
I am aware that in all likelihood this will not happen. The management of the revered franchise do not share my same pragmatic take on Patrice Brisebois and feel that having a defensive liability with very limited offensive awareness and 16 years of losing to pass on to the younger generation, is much better than taking a chance on someone who might actually be what everyone has promised Brisebois should be for decades. But the fragile one, who's probably banking on another free ticket to playoff hockey is likely to injure his groin so many times this season that the 7th defender position should open right up.
Weber, really, just has to get down to Hamilton and do a Sergei Kostitsyn down there. Be ready for the time, and then come up and show the bosses that the veteran taking his place is old news. When will this happen? I'm not sure, but I trust Weber will be ready. His skills will be even more exceptional in the AHL where offensive defencemen are rarer than a shutout in the Q.
Patrice Brisebois
He shouldn't be here. Not again.
Gainey is the scientist who keeps trying to get the watermelon and the apple to fall at different speeds. Brisebois's play is like gravity, unavoidable and holding down the huge weight around the Canadiens necks.
I have nothing more to say.
Patrice's 2007-08 Review
Based on team lists, prospect lists and my evaluations, here is the list of defencemen in order of importance to the team:
- Andrei Markov
- Roman Hamrlik
- Mike Komisarek
- Josh Gorges
- Francis Bouillon
- Ryan O'Byrne
- Yannick Weber
- Patrice Brisebois
- Shawn Belle
- Mathieu Carle
- Pavel Valentenko
- Alex Henry
- Chad Anderson
- PK Subban
- Conrad Martin
- Philippe Paquet
- Joe Stejskal
The top-line defenders
Andrei Markov
The keystone.
key·stone (kstn)
n.
1. Architecture The central wedge-shaped stone of an arch that locks its parts together. Also called headstone.
2. The central supporting element of a whole.
Without Andrei Markov, this is a very different team. Suddenly we have players straining to play above their level on the depth chart at the back. The orchestration of the powerplay is out the window and the other team doesn't have to worry about any seeing-eye passes from the back boards to a rushing Kostitsyn.
Such are Markov's skills that when he's out our team goes to pot defensively and offensively. Fortunately for the Canadiens, the team now has Roman Hamrlik and a bit more depth. Even so, lose an elite defender like Markov and you'll notice.
But let's not harp on what will happen when he's not there. What happens when he is there?
Offensively, I pointed to the powerplay as one area of his influence. I would say it goes much further than that. I am not sure if you all remember the days when Brisebois was pretending to be our number one defenceman. During those dark days, the Canadiens were not a team be reckoned with going forward – not at all. One of the primary reasons for this was the fact the team needed three or four cracks to get into the offensive zone – teams like New Jersey never let us in. Markov has chaned all that. He does it in two ways. First, he can and does carry the puck himself (a critically important skill for gaining the zone). Second, thanks to the fact he can carry it opens up passing options for him, which he uses with exquisite efficiency.
Defensively, he's near as good. Though he gets some tough assignments, one rarely feels nervous to have Andrei manning the back lines. His bodychcking is not well-known around the league, but is proficient enough. His poke-checking and player ushering must be talked about in all pre-game talks.
Finally, Markov's a very good team man. He will play in all situations and will play with many different partners. Importantly, his partners seem to get better at his side – and he has made Komisarek over the last three seasons.
Andrei's 2007-08 Review
Roman Hamrlik
Hamrlik was a great acquisition last summer. In fact, looking back now, it looks even more sound. Consider for a moment how much Ron Hainsey is getting paid and be glad we had our top three defencemen assembled before July this year.
I think this year will be a good one for Roman. At this point in his career, one kows what to expect form Hamrlik on the ice, but this season (with a year under his belt) he will be able to assert his personality and 1000+ games experience on the young blueliners. Even by conservative estimates, our blueline will include one player with a mere 2 years cumulative experience and another with half a season, so a veteran like Hamrlik will be invaluable. Should Weber make the jump at his young age, Hamrlik will no doubt be able to regale him with tales of his early 20s in Tampa and show the youngster the ropes of life for a young European in the NHL.
It's been a while now since Hamrlik's name has been on the radar in the upper rounds of a hockey pool, but this year (should he inherit the right point position), he could turn back into powerplay anchor. He certainly has the stature and particularly the shot to make it happen. I can already see him keeping the puck alive in the zone with regularity.
Having Hamrlik around not only benefits the youngsters he can tutor, but also the workhorses Markov and Komisarek. Because he was also a number one guy, and is stil an outstanding athlete, Hamrlik can play 20 minutes or more with ease. And, because of his skil and poise, those 20 minutes become a whole third of the game where quality defence is played.
Like Markov, Hamrlik is key to the defensive lineup. When he and Markov are there, the two defencemen playing with them are better, the forwards are asked to do less on defence and the 5th and 6th defencemen can play a manageable and sensible role in the game. No one is overstretched, everyone is relaxed and comfortable.
Roman's 2007-08 Review
Mike Komisarek
I think it was in February that I declared Mike Komisarek to be the pleasant surprise of the season. By the end of the season, I had significantly downgraded that assessment. He had an excellent few steps forward, but seemed to stall and even struggle at the close.
To be far to Mike, it is worth explaining how his progress last season made him the standout of a pretty outstanding group of Montreal Canadiens for me up until the last 20 games. Firstly, he started to get it. He learned what defending effectively at the NHL level was all about. He stopped taking retaliatory penalties almost altogether, no longer made hits just to make hits (he slipped back to that vs. Lucic) and used his partner more effectively. Andrei and Mike were feeding off each other and were quickly becoming one of the best pairings NHL-wide. Secondly, he became elite at both hitting effectively and shot-blocking – leading the league at points in both categories. Finally, he was becoming a silent leader on the team.
This season, it sounds like Mike is primed and ready to go. And that's all we need from Mike really – concentration, efficiency and some crushing body checks. Playing with Markov, there is no reason to believe he would regress. If anything the precedent he has shown is that he will come into the season even better than we remember.
You can talk about Gainey building this team all you want, but Andre Savard' picking Komisarek in 2001 was brave, and in retrospect perfectly timed. Defensive defencemen of this stature take time to develop (much more than forwards), because they need to learn the game. Now that Mike has learned, it seems the team around him is also ready to blossom.
Mike's 2007-08 Review
Josh Gorges
Pleasant surprises are the best thing, aren't they? Josh Gorges comes in from the Rivet trade with a draft pick as what most thought was spare part. Following a full season with the Habs, he is firmly ensconced at number 4 on the depth chart.
Of course, we should have known better than to be surprised. Josh had NHL experience at 22, he had a Memorial Cup as a captain of the Kelowna Rockets in 2004. He was also drafted by the canny Doug Wilson who knows the WHL very very well.
Isn't it funny though how in a trade where you think you are losing a certain known quantity that it can work out that you receive the same in return. If I had to liken Gorges to a recent Canadiens player, I don't think I could find a better parallel than Rivet. Early Rivet that is. Josh is a proficient skater with a responsible and anticipatory aspect to his play. Like Rivet, he has potential going forward and can fill in occasionally, but it's not what he does best.
Again, the timing of this trade was well chosen. Now, instead of Rivet, a large salary and a massive personality on a growing young team, we have Rivet Jr. (Gorges) who will grow and learn with the rest and be ready to thrive at the same time. I look forward to watching Josh reprise his role with the Canadiens form the playoffs very soon, as it is very satisfying to watch his efficient and intelligent plays.
I should note, it will come with some relief to myself (and probably to Josh) that Gainey signed big Georges Laraque. Not because Gorges will fight any less, but because now the French commentary team will have to figure out how to pronounce his name so as to distinguich him form Georges.
Josh's 2007-08 Review
Filling out the NHL roster
Francis Bouillon
Can you believe this will be Francis' 11th year with the Canadiens organisation? We make such a fuss over that other defender being around so long, things like this slip right by.
An 11-year NHL career, much less 11 years with the Canadiens and their farm system, was probably beyond even Frank's wildest dreams after he finished the 1997-98 season with the IHL Quebec Rafales. At the time, like a few of the guys signed this summer, I'm sure Bouillon was signed to be an AHL defenceman. But in what was a dark dark time for the Canadiens farm team, he shone. 3rd on the team in points (behind Martin Gendron?? and Eric Houde??, can you believe any of it?).
All in all it's been pretty well uncelebrated over the years - Bouillon's accomplishment, that is. He pulled a bit of a Josh Gorges himself, back in the day, albeit the competition for NHL defenceman positions was not the hottest its ever been (Brisebois, Dykhuis, Laflamme).
Nonetheless, since that season, barring a brief stint in Nashville and Europe, Bouillon has provided the Canadiens with reliable defending. And, slated as the 5th defenceman, I wouldn't want much more than that. In fact, looking through the league as I currently am for my hockey pool, I don't see more than a handful of 5th defenders that could compare to Bouillon.
This season should be a good one for Bouillon as he will start knowing his place is with the final pairing. he will not need to attempt too much going forward, though any little will be much appreciated. His role is certainly diminishing with the team. But, unlike Dandenault who can't keep up with the improvement around him and Brisebois who has no excuse to cash an NHL paycheque, Bouillon holds a niche. He hits better than most, including Komi, most nights, he can skate and even sticks up for teammates when he needs to. He has deficiencies too, but that's why he's #5.
Frank's 2007-08 Review
Ryan O'Byrne
Ryan impressed a lot last season. It has been noted that he had a bit of a rough start, but that after a certain point (when he learned what the heck was going on) he was a plus player the rest of the way out.
He is still 6th on the list because of his inexperience. As the season goes on, the Ivy leaguer (gosh we have a few now), should learn and assure himself a permanent place for this season and into the forseeable future.
The reasons to like O'Byrne are numerous. First, he is a big boy - sometimes listed 6'5", other times 6'6", always 230+ lbs. Second, he plays a solid game. Soid and uncomplicated. Unlike Komisarek when he came up, O'Byrne doesn't seem to feel the need to rattle the glass every 10 seconds. He focuses on defending the net and uses his body efficiently. In that way, he sort of seems smaller than he is, but that is a mere function of expectation. Big players have been gentle and effective before (Uwe Krupp), and I get the feeling Ryan can turn on the nastiness if he absolutely needs to.
Ryan is likely going to be in the fortunate position of inheriting a place with Roman Hamrlik. Largely due to the efficacy of Josh Gorges on his own and with Bouillon, Ryan is the one who needs the big hand to hold. This should benefit O'Byrne greatly should it last, because Hamrlik is precisely the right role model (defensively that is) for him - efficient and intelligent. If Ryan puts his Ivy league education to learning Hamrlik's ways, it will be very big indeed for the Habs.
Ryan's 2007-08 Review
Yannick Weber
The week began with a bit of Weber mania. As it ends, the fickle horde have already moved on to Max Pacioretty. In my opinion, though, Weber is very much the better fit for the current team than Pacioretty. That's to take nothing away from Max.
Yannick enters the final days of camp as the lone offensive defenceman among the pledges. Markov is the boss. Hamrlik can pull weight. and Brisebois is the massive pretender, but Weber can slot right ahead of Patrice.
I am aware that in all likelihood this will not happen. The management of the revered franchise do not share my same pragmatic take on Patrice Brisebois and feel that having a defensive liability with very limited offensive awareness and 16 years of losing to pass on to the younger generation, is much better than taking a chance on someone who might actually be what everyone has promised Brisebois should be for decades. But the fragile one, who's probably banking on another free ticket to playoff hockey is likely to injure his groin so many times this season that the 7th defender position should open right up.
Weber, really, just has to get down to Hamilton and do a Sergei Kostitsyn down there. Be ready for the time, and then come up and show the bosses that the veteran taking his place is old news. When will this happen? I'm not sure, but I trust Weber will be ready. His skills will be even more exceptional in the AHL where offensive defencemen are rarer than a shutout in the Q.
Patrice Brisebois
He shouldn't be here. Not again.
Gainey is the scientist who keeps trying to get the watermelon and the apple to fall at different speeds. Brisebois's play is like gravity, unavoidable and holding down the huge weight around the Canadiens necks.
I have nothing more to say.
Patrice's 2007-08 Review
Rangers Win First Cup in 15 Years
While most Habs fans were listening to yet another meaningless affair between the Canadiens and the Bruins for no points with goaltenders that won't see the light of day come a week's time, the New York Rangers were busy celebrating a Victoria Cup win in Switzerland.
The perplexed New York media did a decent job of covering the event, though they couldn't wrap their minds around the fact it wasn't just a preseason game, especially not for Metallurg who are in full swing now anyway.
The game itself was a thriller. And were it on the CBC, we'd be calling it a classic. It had all the elements of classic story lines. The bad guys came out fast and beat down the good guys, they built an insurmountable lead, the plucky heroes made a start at coming back, nearly fell a couple of times then finally got it done at the very last second with a breakaway goal.
As much as I hate to say it, you have to be glad the Rangers won this one when the opposing coach says something like this in the post-game interview:
What nonsense.
Also, the Rangers gave this game the respect it deserved (when none was forthcoming from the Stanley Cup Champions or Canadiens) and iced their regular season lineup. They also played it right to the end and did the competition proud.
What's more, a lot of the Rangers got the point, including late-goal hero Ryan Callahan:
If you want the actual story from someone who was actually lucky enough to see this one in Switzerland, the try reading either of these reports: NHL, Scotty Hockey or Victoria Cup site.
In fact, were the Canadiens the team, I think we'd all have had a great time watching this game. As it was, it was still memorable. certainly more so than any exhibition game.
When you think of the Victoria Cup, it is easy to dismiss it as just a silly competition between one big league and a continent of pretenders. But the fact is, now more than ever before, those pretenders are actually contenders – especially in a one-game contest.
I have long thought that hockey needed another trophy to create a bit more of a stir. Rather than look to the template of North American sports where 30 baseball teams can play every day for 7 months so that 8 can eventually vie for a single trophy, I look to European sports where multiple trophies have been the norm for ages. While there's no doubt the Stanley Cup would still take precedence, just like the Premiership trophy or La Liga trophy would, the Victoria Cup could cobble a place for itself as the Champion's league, or at least UEFA Cup of hockey. It would not have to take anything away from the competition for the present Cup, nor would it. A separation of months would see to that.
If you think about it, all trophies take a bit of getting used to and some time to gain a reputation and respect. Famously the World Cup (now undeniably the biggest single-sport sporting event in the world) was a bit of a washout its first few times out. The very first one included only 4 teams from Europe, and only those that were willing to go (i.e., not necessarily the best).
The Victoria Cup was always going to face this kind of apathy to start with, especially with the NHL not mandating its top team to participate. But, it's probably only a Stanley Cup Champion, a Toronto Maple Leafs or Montreal Canadiens classic away from becoming a mainstream favourite in Canada really. I've made no secret of the fact I would like to see our Habs vie for this next season, and as yet there haven't been good arguments against it.
For you trivia buffs, some fun:
First goalscorer in Victoria Cup history: Denis Platonov, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Highest point getter in Victoria Cup history: Chris Drury, New York Rangers (2G, 0A)
Most shots on goal in Victoria Cup final: Chris Drury, New York Rangers (9 shots)
Starting goaltenders, Victoria Cup: Henrik Lundqvist, New York Rangers; Andrei Mezin, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
The perplexed New York media did a decent job of covering the event, though they couldn't wrap their minds around the fact it wasn't just a preseason game, especially not for Metallurg who are in full swing now anyway.
The game itself was a thriller. And were it on the CBC, we'd be calling it a classic. It had all the elements of classic story lines. The bad guys came out fast and beat down the good guys, they built an insurmountable lead, the plucky heroes made a start at coming back, nearly fell a couple of times then finally got it done at the very last second with a breakaway goal.
As much as I hate to say it, you have to be glad the Rangers won this one when the opposing coach says something like this in the post-game interview:
“We didn’t actually lose the game, we lost a part of it. A big mistake by one of our defencemen decided the game. Otherwise, we might have had a shootout, which is unpredictable,” he added.
What nonsense.
Also, the Rangers gave this game the respect it deserved (when none was forthcoming from the Stanley Cup Champions or Canadiens) and iced their regular season lineup. They also played it right to the end and did the competition proud.
What's more, a lot of the Rangers got the point, including late-goal hero Ryan Callahan:
"There was a lot of energy in the building," game-winning goal hero Ryan Callahan said. "It didn't feel like a preseason game to us."
If you want the actual story from someone who was actually lucky enough to see this one in Switzerland, the try reading either of these reports: NHL, Scotty Hockey or Victoria Cup site.
In fact, were the Canadiens the team, I think we'd all have had a great time watching this game. As it was, it was still memorable. certainly more so than any exhibition game.
When you think of the Victoria Cup, it is easy to dismiss it as just a silly competition between one big league and a continent of pretenders. But the fact is, now more than ever before, those pretenders are actually contenders – especially in a one-game contest.
I have long thought that hockey needed another trophy to create a bit more of a stir. Rather than look to the template of North American sports where 30 baseball teams can play every day for 7 months so that 8 can eventually vie for a single trophy, I look to European sports where multiple trophies have been the norm for ages. While there's no doubt the Stanley Cup would still take precedence, just like the Premiership trophy or La Liga trophy would, the Victoria Cup could cobble a place for itself as the Champion's league, or at least UEFA Cup of hockey. It would not have to take anything away from the competition for the present Cup, nor would it. A separation of months would see to that.
If you think about it, all trophies take a bit of getting used to and some time to gain a reputation and respect. Famously the World Cup (now undeniably the biggest single-sport sporting event in the world) was a bit of a washout its first few times out. The very first one included only 4 teams from Europe, and only those that were willing to go (i.e., not necessarily the best).
The Victoria Cup was always going to face this kind of apathy to start with, especially with the NHL not mandating its top team to participate. But, it's probably only a Stanley Cup Champion, a Toronto Maple Leafs or Montreal Canadiens classic away from becoming a mainstream favourite in Canada really. I've made no secret of the fact I would like to see our Habs vie for this next season, and as yet there haven't been good arguments against it.
For you trivia buffs, some fun:
First goalscorer in Victoria Cup history: Denis Platonov, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Highest point getter in Victoria Cup history: Chris Drury, New York Rangers (2G, 0A)
Most shots on goal in Victoria Cup final: Chris Drury, New York Rangers (9 shots)
Starting goaltenders, Victoria Cup: Henrik Lundqvist, New York Rangers; Andrei Mezin, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Wednesday, October 01, 2008
Play Keeps Messing Up My Depth Charts
If the Canadiens rookies could stop putting on surprising shows of excellence, maybe I could get my depth charts to stick.
First Weber, now Pacioretty. I shouldn't have been so keen ad done the charts a couple of weeks ago.
I'm just kidding of course. Pacioretty actually playing well is not unexpected, except in how soon he ha been able to turn the trick. Seeing how he went from fresh-faced rookie to scoring star at the most serious US College hockey program in less than a few months, I guess we shouldn't be surprised.
Needless to say, Pacioretty jumps ahead of D'Agostini and Stewart and Dandenault. I don't think that gives him a starting place. To do that, he must set Guillaume in his sights...
First Weber, now Pacioretty. I shouldn't have been so keen ad done the charts a couple of weeks ago.
I'm just kidding of course. Pacioretty actually playing well is not unexpected, except in how soon he ha been able to turn the trick. Seeing how he went from fresh-faced rookie to scoring star at the most serious US College hockey program in less than a few months, I guess we shouldn't be surprised.
Needless to say, Pacioretty jumps ahead of D'Agostini and Stewart and Dandenault. I don't think that gives him a starting place. To do that, he must set Guillaume in his sights...
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Helvetica Neue?
Yesterday's cuts didn't offer much surprising news. Career AHLers were returned to the AHL, juniors to junior and cards fell where they were expected to fall.
In some ways, this means everything is going to plan. I mean Latendresse, Olivier did not outshine Plekanec, but Latendresse, Guillaume is doing his part to hold a place. For me a singular disappointment is that we traded Corey Locke (Hamilton's all-time leading scorer and one-time CHL MVP) to help shore up the Hamilton back-line.
The intrigue in this whole training camp actually begins now, because those players who had a hope of making the team are all the ones still floating around. The next cuts will determine which prospects are fast-tracked and which are going to the incubator for another year. It will also tell me whether or not on teams like the Canadiens (with a roster largely filled out with NHL one-way contracts already) training camp is just a waste of time until the season begins.
As much as I like D'Agostini, Maxwell and Pacioretty. I think with Latendresse's attitude and performance turnaround, there is a single place to be won from camp. A conservative guess would put Chipchura in the mix. But Greg Stewart's single game against the Leafs last spring looms large in his favour.
Then there's Marc Denis, who after being one of the worst goaltenders in any hockey league last season, has a lot to prove. More than he can prove in an 8-game stint. He is here because they will use him again, but his stay is temporary i think.
The player who interests me most of those left is Yannick Weber. The story on him prior to the Florida game was that he was Swiss (hence the title for this piece) and that Mark Streit was his idol.
The story on him now that he has made the first cut is getting a bit more interesting. And while the pessimistic among us (and those who clearly want a ride in Brisebois' Ferrari next week) give him no chance at all:
Gaston Therrien: No place for Weber
Francois Gagnon: Not yet good enough to dislodge O'Byrne or Brisebois
I think Weber is in with a real chance here. I certainly wouldn't dismiss it out of hand the way the two journalists did. Not when the competition includes the illustrious shrug-master Brisebois.
There are several reasons for my view from the apparent lunatic fringe:
First, Weber fills an actual need on the Canadiens. With the loss of Streit on defence, the Canadiens rely on Markov for generating plays from the back, but are then faced with an immense drop off to Hamrlik and then another one to Gorges, Bouillon and Komisarek. O'Byrne for his part hardly factors into offense at all, as he is so tied up learning how to be a big defenceman.
Second, Weber is already better than Brisebois. He has shown he is dynamic, confident and can shoot without a flutter motion. And he holds the potential to get better over time, whereas we all know Patrice's potential that we spent much of last season hoping wouldn't be fulfilled again and again.
Third, Carbonneau has already shown us that he loves carrying extra defencemen on the roster, not extra forwards. He is comfortable in moving a D up to the wing, where the worst they can do is play like a D and rarely contribute any offence (Dandeanult), whereas a D gets injured, no way a forward is moved back.
I'm also not that excited about O'Byrne, to be honest. I have a feeling if it wasn't for his size he wouldn't be a factor in NHL roster-making. And, sure, you can't ignore that he is 6'5". But we need to make up our minds here, do we need Laraque or not? We want a few big guys, sure, but this team is built mostly for speed and needs the players to match.
In the best-case scenario for me, Weber would of course step into Brisebois' place and that would be that – the end of a long and tortuous relationship. I am not that naive, though, not after another summer of betrayal.
I do believe there is another alternative based on the feasible where Weber stays though, and that is where neither Stewart or Chipchura make the Habs right away. That way Carbonneau carries Brisebois, Weber and (is he still here?) Dandenault in the pressbox and inserts them when he pleases. In the spirit of keep the best prospect, it looks like the right move today.
Anyway, get a good look at Weber, because there will be injuries on defence (it comes with the territory) and he is now first in line to make the step up should we need extra legs. I just know we can't resist having a new Swiss player on the team, not now we know we are Switzerland's NHL favs (as Weber reported).
In some ways, this means everything is going to plan. I mean Latendresse, Olivier did not outshine Plekanec, but Latendresse, Guillaume is doing his part to hold a place. For me a singular disappointment is that we traded Corey Locke (Hamilton's all-time leading scorer and one-time CHL MVP) to help shore up the Hamilton back-line.
The intrigue in this whole training camp actually begins now, because those players who had a hope of making the team are all the ones still floating around. The next cuts will determine which prospects are fast-tracked and which are going to the incubator for another year. It will also tell me whether or not on teams like the Canadiens (with a roster largely filled out with NHL one-way contracts already) training camp is just a waste of time until the season begins.
As much as I like D'Agostini, Maxwell and Pacioretty. I think with Latendresse's attitude and performance turnaround, there is a single place to be won from camp. A conservative guess would put Chipchura in the mix. But Greg Stewart's single game against the Leafs last spring looms large in his favour.
Then there's Marc Denis, who after being one of the worst goaltenders in any hockey league last season, has a lot to prove. More than he can prove in an 8-game stint. He is here because they will use him again, but his stay is temporary i think.
The player who interests me most of those left is Yannick Weber. The story on him prior to the Florida game was that he was Swiss (hence the title for this piece) and that Mark Streit was his idol.
The story on him now that he has made the first cut is getting a bit more interesting. And while the pessimistic among us (and those who clearly want a ride in Brisebois' Ferrari next week) give him no chance at all:
Gaston Therrien: No place for Weber
Francois Gagnon: Not yet good enough to dislodge O'Byrne or Brisebois
I think Weber is in with a real chance here. I certainly wouldn't dismiss it out of hand the way the two journalists did. Not when the competition includes the illustrious shrug-master Brisebois.
There are several reasons for my view from the apparent lunatic fringe:
First, Weber fills an actual need on the Canadiens. With the loss of Streit on defence, the Canadiens rely on Markov for generating plays from the back, but are then faced with an immense drop off to Hamrlik and then another one to Gorges, Bouillon and Komisarek. O'Byrne for his part hardly factors into offense at all, as he is so tied up learning how to be a big defenceman.
Second, Weber is already better than Brisebois. He has shown he is dynamic, confident and can shoot without a flutter motion. And he holds the potential to get better over time, whereas we all know Patrice's potential that we spent much of last season hoping wouldn't be fulfilled again and again.
Third, Carbonneau has already shown us that he loves carrying extra defencemen on the roster, not extra forwards. He is comfortable in moving a D up to the wing, where the worst they can do is play like a D and rarely contribute any offence (Dandeanult), whereas a D gets injured, no way a forward is moved back.
I'm also not that excited about O'Byrne, to be honest. I have a feeling if it wasn't for his size he wouldn't be a factor in NHL roster-making. And, sure, you can't ignore that he is 6'5". But we need to make up our minds here, do we need Laraque or not? We want a few big guys, sure, but this team is built mostly for speed and needs the players to match.
In the best-case scenario for me, Weber would of course step into Brisebois' place and that would be that – the end of a long and tortuous relationship. I am not that naive, though, not after another summer of betrayal.
I do believe there is another alternative based on the feasible where Weber stays though, and that is where neither Stewart or Chipchura make the Habs right away. That way Carbonneau carries Brisebois, Weber and (is he still here?) Dandenault in the pressbox and inserts them when he pleases. In the spirit of keep the best prospect, it looks like the right move today.
Anyway, get a good look at Weber, because there will be injuries on defence (it comes with the territory) and he is now first in line to make the step up should we need extra legs. I just know we can't resist having a new Swiss player on the team, not now we know we are Switzerland's NHL favs (as Weber reported).
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Ceremonies On The Rise
I think other teams will dread playing in Montreal even a little bit more this season. From the looks of things, most games will be preceded by a ceremony of some kind.
Yesterday, the Canadiens revealed their plans for the next 15 months leading up to their 100th birthday. By and large, there was nothing unexpected – no outdoor games, no fan participatory events. 90% of goings on will be pre-game material.
Looking at the list of events, the highlights have to be:
But, in the same vein as my opinion piece on the Victoria Cup participation, I think the Habs have stopped a bit short on their list here. I'll tell you why.
First of all, over the past years, the Canadiens have made ceremony and presentations for just about everything imaginable. Olympians get honoured, I've been at games honouring Jacques Villneuve, Andre Dawson, and even the vilified GM Rejean Houle (after the GM bit, if you can imagine). Even last year, they honoured rivalries like that with the Red Wings. as a result of all this, it is my belief that others (based on my own example) may be desensitized to the merits of the ceremony. Just a thought.
Secondly, fans on TV (where you would find the vast majority) are most often deprived of the chance to see any of the ceremony as it happens and have to catch it in clips on TSN or RDS later. RDS in particular generally seem to prefer the chance to speak for the 80th hour of that week about line combinations, breakfast choices or contrived goalie controversies. So, most fans will not be privy to any of these ceremonies anyway (barring a dramatic change of heart from RDS, that is). Also, take into account that some people must be rushing to eat or clear up dinner (as I do) and will miss it even if it is shown.
Basically, my opinion is that the team should unveil another series of events that foster public (or at least fans at large) involvement, even participation. The Victoria Cup may not be participatory, but it would give the fans a thrill (at least one of us, anyway) to have another meaningful prize to shoot for. Other possibilities off the top of my head could be things like:
I think particularly that the Habs should be honouring the earliest seasons of their history, which many fans (including myself up until I started writing more seriously) know nothing about. Honouring the original six is interesting and fine. But let's be honest, it has been done. What's more, though we know why the Canadiens loved the Original 6 era (Cups galore), it's strange to keep focusing again and again on an era that constitutes less than a third of a team's total history – I mean the Penguins have been in the league more than 40 years now guys...
Not to fret though, there's still plenty of time to surprise us all – I expect they will somehow. And if there's one thing the Canadiens have shown a penchant for, it is creating the most meaningful moments and ceremonies with no lead time – I'm thinking particularly of the reception they afforded Saku Koivu upon his return.
Yesterday, the Canadiens revealed their plans for the next 15 months leading up to their 100th birthday. By and large, there was nothing unexpected – no outdoor games, no fan participatory events. 90% of goings on will be pre-game material.Looking at the list of events, the highlights have to be:
- The MSO concert and opening of the Canadiens Hall of Fame
- Patrick Roy's sweater retirement
- The inauguration of the community outdoor rink programme
But, in the same vein as my opinion piece on the Victoria Cup participation, I think the Habs have stopped a bit short on their list here. I'll tell you why.
First of all, over the past years, the Canadiens have made ceremony and presentations for just about everything imaginable. Olympians get honoured, I've been at games honouring Jacques Villneuve, Andre Dawson, and even the vilified GM Rejean Houle (after the GM bit, if you can imagine). Even last year, they honoured rivalries like that with the Red Wings. as a result of all this, it is my belief that others (based on my own example) may be desensitized to the merits of the ceremony. Just a thought.
Secondly, fans on TV (where you would find the vast majority) are most often deprived of the chance to see any of the ceremony as it happens and have to catch it in clips on TSN or RDS later. RDS in particular generally seem to prefer the chance to speak for the 80th hour of that week about line combinations, breakfast choices or contrived goalie controversies. So, most fans will not be privy to any of these ceremonies anyway (barring a dramatic change of heart from RDS, that is). Also, take into account that some people must be rushing to eat or clear up dinner (as I do) and will miss it even if it is shown.
Basically, my opinion is that the team should unveil another series of events that foster public (or at least fans at large) involvement, even participation. The Victoria Cup may not be participatory, but it would give the fans a thrill (at least one of us, anyway) to have another meaningful prize to shoot for. Other possibilities off the top of my head could be things like:
- A testimonial game (former and Canadiens) but at a large outdoor venue – a bit like the Heritage Classic
- A tour of small towns for next exhibition schedule – maybe the prominent hometowns of former greats (Thurso, anyone?)
- Something special against the Ottawa Senators, who it could be argued have the oldest name in the history of the NHA/NHL
- Games against thee top teams from the original opponents from 1909 (Montreal B and C teams?, Ottawa, Renfrew, Cobalt, Halleybury)
- Dedicate a new trophy for something like the best amateur team in Montreal or Quebec – it could be a tournament or a challenge Cup
- Plaques for important sites (Provigo on Mont-Royal?)
I think particularly that the Habs should be honouring the earliest seasons of their history, which many fans (including myself up until I started writing more seriously) know nothing about. Honouring the original six is interesting and fine. But let's be honest, it has been done. What's more, though we know why the Canadiens loved the Original 6 era (Cups galore), it's strange to keep focusing again and again on an era that constitutes less than a third of a team's total history – I mean the Penguins have been in the league more than 40 years now guys...
Not to fret though, there's still plenty of time to surprise us all – I expect they will somehow. And if there's one thing the Canadiens have shown a penchant for, it is creating the most meaningful moments and ceremonies with no lead time – I'm thinking particularly of the reception they afforded Saku Koivu upon his return.
Monday, September 22, 2008
How Ridiculous Is Our Town?
The Canadiens played an intersquad scrimmage!
Check out the coverage, not of the stories about the upcoming season, but of the game itself...
Francois Gagnon
Marc de Foy
Mike Boone
Canadiens website
I could go on.
I know Toronto is nuts like us, but really? Somuch coverage of a Lehoux shootout goal on Loic Lacasse? A story about the second Latendresse scoring in a scrimmage when even Guillaume is on the bubble?
I bet we have seen more coverage of the Blanc vs. Rouge affair in Montreal than folks in Miami see for their Panthers over the entire month of December. I bet more people cared about the Olivier Latendresse goal than any Kings goal last March. It's madness. It's absolutely ridiculous isn't it? Ridiculous, but not too ridiculous. I mean, I'm happy to have the coverage. I'm happy to read and write about it. I relish our ridiculous fanaticism.
Even so, it's moments like these where lesser hockey fans say things like: "I can't wait for the real stuff to start..."
Exhibition season
Tonight exhibition play begins. It can be the second in our new amazing winning streak against the Boston Bruins.
at the very least, a game against competition should give some more indication of something, for us famished hyenas, I just can't promise what.
If the defence plays badly, what will it mean? If we allow 5 goals, does it matter? If we can't score on the PP, will there be cries for Streit? Probably not.
Of course, at the end of it all, some players will make the team and others cut. But it seems a lot is "poured in cement" as they say in Quebec. And, if things are set in stone (like say the Kovalev line from last year), then why on earth is that line not being used in exhibition? I'm not too worried, just wondering...
After a very long summer, then golf, then play-time, it's very exciting that things are starting to get a little bit less meaningless. Slowly.
Check out the coverage, not of the stories about the upcoming season, but of the game itself...
Francois Gagnon
Marc de Foy
Mike Boone
Canadiens website
I could go on.
I know Toronto is nuts like us, but really? Somuch coverage of a Lehoux shootout goal on Loic Lacasse? A story about the second Latendresse scoring in a scrimmage when even Guillaume is on the bubble?
I bet we have seen more coverage of the Blanc vs. Rouge affair in Montreal than folks in Miami see for their Panthers over the entire month of December. I bet more people cared about the Olivier Latendresse goal than any Kings goal last March. It's madness. It's absolutely ridiculous isn't it? Ridiculous, but not too ridiculous. I mean, I'm happy to have the coverage. I'm happy to read and write about it. I relish our ridiculous fanaticism.
Even so, it's moments like these where lesser hockey fans say things like: "I can't wait for the real stuff to start..."
Exhibition season
Tonight exhibition play begins. It can be the second in our new amazing winning streak against the Boston Bruins.
at the very least, a game against competition should give some more indication of something, for us famished hyenas, I just can't promise what.
If the defence plays badly, what will it mean? If we allow 5 goals, does it matter? If we can't score on the PP, will there be cries for Streit? Probably not.
Of course, at the end of it all, some players will make the team and others cut. But it seems a lot is "poured in cement" as they say in Quebec. And, if things are set in stone (like say the Kovalev line from last year), then why on earth is that line not being used in exhibition? I'm not too worried, just wondering...
After a very long summer, then golf, then play-time, it's very exciting that things are starting to get a little bit less meaningless. Slowly.
Canadiens Depth Preview: The Centres (Part 1)
It has been said for some time that a major strength of the Canadiens has been organizational depth. Up to last season, depth was nothing more than a nice thought, but youngsters graduating at impressive rates, the depth is now being put to the test.
Ahead of what should be an exciting season, I wanted to take a look at the team's overall depth at each position. I'm starting with centres. Part 1 will be big-team guys, Part 2 will be the farm system as it stands now.
Based on team lists, prospect lists and my evaluations, here is the list of centres in order of importance to the team:
The top-line centres
Saku Koivu
What more can be said about Saku Koivu? If one is wondering how I have him at number one on this list, a brief look back at the playoffs 2008 should clarify matters greatly. And for those who are worried that Koivu is and never has been a number one centre, I would suggest taking a look at much of the rest of the league. Atlanta, Edmonton, Vancouver, NYI, Minnesota, Columbus, Nashville, Florida (I could go on) – these are all teams that would not say no to Koivu as their number one centre. He is not Lecavalier, Crosby or Thornton, I grant that, but he is definitely among the top 30 in the league. And, when you factor in his playoff boost, he is made even more valuable.
In my mind, there are basically two things you need to know about Saku Koivu:
1) He will do anything to help the team win (including play a defensive role)
2) He makes every winger he plays with better
These two qualities speak to why he is the captain and longest-serving Hab. They also speak to why he is consistently the best player when the chips are down. I think these qualities also make him a valuable asset at this stage in the team's growth. Take for example all the new forwards. There will need to be shuffling of lines. Koivu's flexibility and reliability makes the coach's job a cinch as there will always be place for a winger (Tanguay for example), who is finding it hard with someone else.
No matter what, I would hope to see Koivu with at least one of the top offensive wingers (that is to say Kovalev, Tanguay or Andrei Kostitsyn). This should prove exciting for Koivu, as it will be the first time since Mark Recchi for Zubrus (ugh), Saku has the chance to play with a winger who has some established credentials other than in playoff bail-out moments. For the man who made Zednik, Savage and Ryder into NHL goalmen, this should be a relief.
A valid question is: will it turn into a statistical boon? I would answer this cautiously. For one thing, I don't think Saku Koivu has scoring championship on his mind. As I said, he wants to help the team win. As such, I think there will be times during the long season that he will again take the offensive back seat. So, I don't think 90 points are on the cards. If pressed for a prediction, I would be comfortable saying a return to 70-point level, but with the most goals he's ever scored.
A word of warning though. There will be moments when you all want to question Koivu, his place in the lineup, his captaincy. And the usual suspects will goad you on. But be mindful of the lessons of last season, where all that occurred but the captain with the broken foot was all that kept us from even worse embarassment at the hands of the Bruins.
Saku's 2007-08 Review
Tomas Plekanec
In Plekanec, the Canadiens have themselves a real gem. Last year, we called him the number one centre for more than half of the season. He can click with Kovalev, he can click with Kostitsyn. In the past he has also shown he can thrive with Higgins or just about anyone on the team.
I think if fans of other teams are looking in, they might ask why we are getting so carried away about Tomas. After all, he only put up 69 points – his other seasons were sub-50 points. I think that shows how important it is to watch a player in order to evaluate them. From watching Plekanec, we know that we could trust him on the top line, the fourth line, the PP or the PK. We know that he is fast, intelligent, generous when he needs to be and ruthless as well. We know that the 47-point man from 2 seasons ago was transformed some time around December 2007 into a true top-line centre, who can be feared around the league.
Like Saku, Tomas is a very adaptable centre. In fact, his adaptability is on par with the captain's, in my esteem. He only sits at number two in the depth chart at this point, because of Saku's repeated excellence in tight situations. Plekanec, on the other hand, found it difficult to thrive throughout the tight-checking of the playoffs (famously likening his own play to that of a little girl). However, it must be said that he did learn as the games went on.
So, what should we expect from this quick-witted, fleet-footed Czech. Like Saku, his statistical outlook is up in the air right now. Should Tomas play with Kovalev, I would say improvement in stats is on the horizon, and we could have an 80-point centre for the first time since Turgeon and Damphousse. But, if Carbonneau sees a better fit on another line for Tomas, his stats may wane.
Whatever happens, the team will benefit from having Plekanec's offensive nous and defensive commitment. One thing is crystal clear in my mind, Plekanec will have a good season. As we pointed out last year, Tomas plays well most of the time. You notice him most nights. This includes games where he doesn't get points, as well as those where he does.
Tomas' 2007-08 Review
Robert Lang
Ah, the mysterious Lang.
You wouldn't be wrong in pointing out that I may have overreacted (or underreacted) to this addition on the day. Call it clouding by Brisebois.
Upon reflection, and remembering what I really thought about adding Sundin, I think that Lang could be a sound addition. I am not as sold as The "Daily" Hab-It is, but I can see some value.
It is good that he wins slightly more faceoffs than he loses. It is good he holds his stick the other way. It is fine that he scores points with regularity in this league. However, no matter whether he wins 54% of faceoffs from here to March or scores 60-odd points, I still think his value will only be shown (or not) in May and hopefully June. The Canadiens had good enough options to promote from within and make the playoffs again, but it was their post-season failure that prompted this acquisition, I suspect.
So, how do I see Lang helping in that regard? Well, thankfully still have Koivu and Plekanec. Teams that have relied on Lang in bigger roles have generally not conquered much in the postseason at all. I hope we will not be foisting him into a bigger role than what he has shown he can cope with.
But having a third option like Lang (as opposed to Smolinski or Bonk) to make checking assignments a little trickier could work wonders. And, basically, that's the biggest value I think he will bring – a legitimate third threat. Regardless of how the wingers get shuffled, a healthy Habs team will have a third line centred by either Koivu, Plekanec or Lang. This is good news indeed. That should make scoring on goalies like Thomas and Biron a bit easier this time around.
In terms of statistics, I am expecting Lang to match his usual outputs, that is to say 50 points. Barring a massive shift in policy from Carbo, Lang is bound to benefit from Kovalev as a linemate at some points, probably a Kostitsyn at other times. In the best-case scenario for Lang, he will play a season with Kovalev and whoever else and put up 65 points or so. In a best-case for the Habs (in my opinion), he'll play third-line duties with some PP time.
Filling out the NHL roster
Maxim Lapierre
Tobalev and I have a back and forth about Lapierre. We both like him, but our estimations of his potential differ. Tobalev sees Lapierre as a fourth-line player through and through. I can see glimmers of more.
That being said, I am happy that at this stage of Max's career, that he continue to learn the trade on the fourth line. Come an injury or player move, though, and I could be quite comfortable with Max moving up in the lineup. You don't lead a top-line to any championship if you have no talent and no character. Max's Hamilton playoff heroics showed me oodles about both.
It also shouldn't be forgotten that last season was a decent one for Max. Over a year, he pretty firmly established his place in the depth chart. For me, anyway. His demotion, exceptional play and attitude in Hamilton and his promotion were all great signs of maturity and drive. And, once on the team, he played like a pro who had learned something. I particularly think of his play in the playoffs, where his effort was outstanding. And, if not betrayed by a lower skill level and lower-tier wingers, he might have been able to do what he was trying so hard to do.
I see Max as one of those future playoff hero-type players – like Paul DiPietro. His desire to win combined with a bit more seasoning should make him more valuable to the team this coming spring. Statistically, I wouldn't take Lapierre in any pools. A great season would be 10 goals. 30 points should be his ceiling barring him being cast in a new role.
Maxim's 2007-08 Review
Kyle Chipchura
Future captain headlines a year ago. Doubt over future Habs player creeping this season. It just goes to show how different junior and professional hockey can be.
But, you know what? There is probably nothing more demanding to ask of a rookie than to step into the NHL and become a defensive centre.
A look at the who's who of defensive centres in the league, and you'll come up with vets, vets and more vets. Rookie forwards usually enter the league based on their offensive potential and after learning the game and learning they can't reproduce their junior statistics, morph into Selke aspirationals.
To draft a player based on his defensive excellence at the forward position in junior is not unprecedented, but let's just say it's rare. The Canadiens have done it with some success: Gainey and Skrudland spring to mind; but even so, patience is the key with Chipchura.
In what little we have seen of Chipchura, I think it is fair to say there is uncertainty. But, thanks to his personality and pedigree (Canada captain), I expect him to make it. I think I will even go out on a limb and say that Chipchura will make the centre position a log-jam if everyone remains healthy for the season.
Again, statistics probably won't be his thing. The boy does have a knack for big goals though, and that may get him some notoriety if given a chance in the spring. What is certain is that together with Lapierre, Chipchura gives the Canadiens outstanding (reliabl and potantially multi-dimensional) options for a fourth centre.
I'll leave the future captain debate for someone else this time, but we have a future player here. And the future is not so distant in his case.
Kyle's 2007-08 Review
Steve Begin
Listing him as a centre belies Begins position on the team. Personally, I see Begin deployed on the fourth line when he is healthy enough (probably on the wing). However, last season, Steve was overtaken by Lapierre in the depth chart without question, and I don't think Chipchura will waste much of training camp in doing the same.
The prognosis for Steve's season might be shaky if things go well for the Habs. What I mean is, young players, should they progress as hoped might make Begin obsolete by springtime. If Sergei Kostitsyn sticks, for example, he takes a place. Add Latendresse, who we hope will be better and we will have 8 better wingers than Steve.
Like Dandenault, this is not meant to be a slight against Begin. As teams get better they inevitably outgrow some old-time heroes. That is not to say he will be thrown to the trash heap. No, he still has value as an insurance policy. And, even as a permanent pressbox player, I could see Steve still bringing enormous value – simply because he never seems to give up.
Should Begin take the wrong attitude, only then could it actually hurt to keep him around. His tendency to try and prove his worth at times can mean nothing more than hitting for the sake of it and shooting directly at the goalie (I'm remembering Biron). I hope someone will have discussed Steve's new role with him, and the role that even we can foresee by 2009. It would be a shame for this player-team relationship to end on anything but a high note.
Steve's 2007-08 Review
Ahead of what should be an exciting season, I wanted to take a look at the team's overall depth at each position. I'm starting with centres. Part 1 will be big-team guys, Part 2 will be the farm system as it stands now.
Based on team lists, prospect lists and my evaluations, here is the list of centres in order of importance to the team:
- Saku Koivu
- Tomas Plekanec
- Robert Lang
- Maxim Lapierre
- Kyle Chipchura
- Steve Begin
- Brock Trotter
- Ben Maxwell
- David Desharnais
- Ryan White
- Mathieu Aubin
- Ryan Russell
- Olivier Fortier
- Olivier Latendresse
- Yanick Lehoux
The top-line centres
Saku Koivu
What more can be said about Saku Koivu? If one is wondering how I have him at number one on this list, a brief look back at the playoffs 2008 should clarify matters greatly. And for those who are worried that Koivu is and never has been a number one centre, I would suggest taking a look at much of the rest of the league. Atlanta, Edmonton, Vancouver, NYI, Minnesota, Columbus, Nashville, Florida (I could go on) – these are all teams that would not say no to Koivu as their number one centre. He is not Lecavalier, Crosby or Thornton, I grant that, but he is definitely among the top 30 in the league. And, when you factor in his playoff boost, he is made even more valuable.
In my mind, there are basically two things you need to know about Saku Koivu:
1) He will do anything to help the team win (including play a defensive role)
2) He makes every winger he plays with better
These two qualities speak to why he is the captain and longest-serving Hab. They also speak to why he is consistently the best player when the chips are down. I think these qualities also make him a valuable asset at this stage in the team's growth. Take for example all the new forwards. There will need to be shuffling of lines. Koivu's flexibility and reliability makes the coach's job a cinch as there will always be place for a winger (Tanguay for example), who is finding it hard with someone else.
No matter what, I would hope to see Koivu with at least one of the top offensive wingers (that is to say Kovalev, Tanguay or Andrei Kostitsyn). This should prove exciting for Koivu, as it will be the first time since Mark Recchi for Zubrus (ugh), Saku has the chance to play with a winger who has some established credentials other than in playoff bail-out moments. For the man who made Zednik, Savage and Ryder into NHL goalmen, this should be a relief.
A valid question is: will it turn into a statistical boon? I would answer this cautiously. For one thing, I don't think Saku Koivu has scoring championship on his mind. As I said, he wants to help the team win. As such, I think there will be times during the long season that he will again take the offensive back seat. So, I don't think 90 points are on the cards. If pressed for a prediction, I would be comfortable saying a return to 70-point level, but with the most goals he's ever scored.
A word of warning though. There will be moments when you all want to question Koivu, his place in the lineup, his captaincy. And the usual suspects will goad you on. But be mindful of the lessons of last season, where all that occurred but the captain with the broken foot was all that kept us from even worse embarassment at the hands of the Bruins.
Saku's 2007-08 Review
Tomas Plekanec
In Plekanec, the Canadiens have themselves a real gem. Last year, we called him the number one centre for more than half of the season. He can click with Kovalev, he can click with Kostitsyn. In the past he has also shown he can thrive with Higgins or just about anyone on the team.
I think if fans of other teams are looking in, they might ask why we are getting so carried away about Tomas. After all, he only put up 69 points – his other seasons were sub-50 points. I think that shows how important it is to watch a player in order to evaluate them. From watching Plekanec, we know that we could trust him on the top line, the fourth line, the PP or the PK. We know that he is fast, intelligent, generous when he needs to be and ruthless as well. We know that the 47-point man from 2 seasons ago was transformed some time around December 2007 into a true top-line centre, who can be feared around the league.
Like Saku, Tomas is a very adaptable centre. In fact, his adaptability is on par with the captain's, in my esteem. He only sits at number two in the depth chart at this point, because of Saku's repeated excellence in tight situations. Plekanec, on the other hand, found it difficult to thrive throughout the tight-checking of the playoffs (famously likening his own play to that of a little girl). However, it must be said that he did learn as the games went on.
So, what should we expect from this quick-witted, fleet-footed Czech. Like Saku, his statistical outlook is up in the air right now. Should Tomas play with Kovalev, I would say improvement in stats is on the horizon, and we could have an 80-point centre for the first time since Turgeon and Damphousse. But, if Carbonneau sees a better fit on another line for Tomas, his stats may wane.
Whatever happens, the team will benefit from having Plekanec's offensive nous and defensive commitment. One thing is crystal clear in my mind, Plekanec will have a good season. As we pointed out last year, Tomas plays well most of the time. You notice him most nights. This includes games where he doesn't get points, as well as those where he does.
Tomas' 2007-08 Review
Robert Lang
Ah, the mysterious Lang.
You wouldn't be wrong in pointing out that I may have overreacted (or underreacted) to this addition on the day. Call it clouding by Brisebois.
Upon reflection, and remembering what I really thought about adding Sundin, I think that Lang could be a sound addition. I am not as sold as The "Daily" Hab-It is, but I can see some value.
It is good that he wins slightly more faceoffs than he loses. It is good he holds his stick the other way. It is fine that he scores points with regularity in this league. However, no matter whether he wins 54% of faceoffs from here to March or scores 60-odd points, I still think his value will only be shown (or not) in May and hopefully June. The Canadiens had good enough options to promote from within and make the playoffs again, but it was their post-season failure that prompted this acquisition, I suspect.
So, how do I see Lang helping in that regard? Well, thankfully still have Koivu and Plekanec. Teams that have relied on Lang in bigger roles have generally not conquered much in the postseason at all. I hope we will not be foisting him into a bigger role than what he has shown he can cope with.
But having a third option like Lang (as opposed to Smolinski or Bonk) to make checking assignments a little trickier could work wonders. And, basically, that's the biggest value I think he will bring – a legitimate third threat. Regardless of how the wingers get shuffled, a healthy Habs team will have a third line centred by either Koivu, Plekanec or Lang. This is good news indeed. That should make scoring on goalies like Thomas and Biron a bit easier this time around.
In terms of statistics, I am expecting Lang to match his usual outputs, that is to say 50 points. Barring a massive shift in policy from Carbo, Lang is bound to benefit from Kovalev as a linemate at some points, probably a Kostitsyn at other times. In the best-case scenario for Lang, he will play a season with Kovalev and whoever else and put up 65 points or so. In a best-case for the Habs (in my opinion), he'll play third-line duties with some PP time.
Filling out the NHL roster
Maxim Lapierre
Tobalev and I have a back and forth about Lapierre. We both like him, but our estimations of his potential differ. Tobalev sees Lapierre as a fourth-line player through and through. I can see glimmers of more.
That being said, I am happy that at this stage of Max's career, that he continue to learn the trade on the fourth line. Come an injury or player move, though, and I could be quite comfortable with Max moving up in the lineup. You don't lead a top-line to any championship if you have no talent and no character. Max's Hamilton playoff heroics showed me oodles about both.
It also shouldn't be forgotten that last season was a decent one for Max. Over a year, he pretty firmly established his place in the depth chart. For me, anyway. His demotion, exceptional play and attitude in Hamilton and his promotion were all great signs of maturity and drive. And, once on the team, he played like a pro who had learned something. I particularly think of his play in the playoffs, where his effort was outstanding. And, if not betrayed by a lower skill level and lower-tier wingers, he might have been able to do what he was trying so hard to do.
I see Max as one of those future playoff hero-type players – like Paul DiPietro. His desire to win combined with a bit more seasoning should make him more valuable to the team this coming spring. Statistically, I wouldn't take Lapierre in any pools. A great season would be 10 goals. 30 points should be his ceiling barring him being cast in a new role.
Maxim's 2007-08 Review
Kyle Chipchura
Future captain headlines a year ago. Doubt over future Habs player creeping this season. It just goes to show how different junior and professional hockey can be.
But, you know what? There is probably nothing more demanding to ask of a rookie than to step into the NHL and become a defensive centre.
A look at the who's who of defensive centres in the league, and you'll come up with vets, vets and more vets. Rookie forwards usually enter the league based on their offensive potential and after learning the game and learning they can't reproduce their junior statistics, morph into Selke aspirationals.
To draft a player based on his defensive excellence at the forward position in junior is not unprecedented, but let's just say it's rare. The Canadiens have done it with some success: Gainey and Skrudland spring to mind; but even so, patience is the key with Chipchura.
In what little we have seen of Chipchura, I think it is fair to say there is uncertainty. But, thanks to his personality and pedigree (Canada captain), I expect him to make it. I think I will even go out on a limb and say that Chipchura will make the centre position a log-jam if everyone remains healthy for the season.
Again, statistics probably won't be his thing. The boy does have a knack for big goals though, and that may get him some notoriety if given a chance in the spring. What is certain is that together with Lapierre, Chipchura gives the Canadiens outstanding (reliabl and potantially multi-dimensional) options for a fourth centre.
I'll leave the future captain debate for someone else this time, but we have a future player here. And the future is not so distant in his case.
Kyle's 2007-08 Review
Steve Begin
Listing him as a centre belies Begins position on the team. Personally, I see Begin deployed on the fourth line when he is healthy enough (probably on the wing). However, last season, Steve was overtaken by Lapierre in the depth chart without question, and I don't think Chipchura will waste much of training camp in doing the same.
The prognosis for Steve's season might be shaky if things go well for the Habs. What I mean is, young players, should they progress as hoped might make Begin obsolete by springtime. If Sergei Kostitsyn sticks, for example, he takes a place. Add Latendresse, who we hope will be better and we will have 8 better wingers than Steve.
Like Dandenault, this is not meant to be a slight against Begin. As teams get better they inevitably outgrow some old-time heroes. That is not to say he will be thrown to the trash heap. No, he still has value as an insurance policy. And, even as a permanent pressbox player, I could see Steve still bringing enormous value – simply because he never seems to give up.
Should Begin take the wrong attitude, only then could it actually hurt to keep him around. His tendency to try and prove his worth at times can mean nothing more than hitting for the sake of it and shooting directly at the goalie (I'm remembering Biron). I hope someone will have discussed Steve's new role with him, and the role that even we can foresee by 2009. It would be a shame for this player-team relationship to end on anything but a high note.
Steve's 2007-08 Review
Thursday, September 18, 2008
Habs Reviews 2007-08
Habs Reviews 2007-08
I bumped up this older holding page post, since reviews of last year are becoming relevant again... especially for hockey pools.
Click through to find 2007-08 reviews for all those who suited up this season (links will become activated, from least to most valuable player, once the reviews are posted at the rate of 1 player a day):
Click through to find 2007-08 reviews for all those who suited up this season (links will become activated, from least to most valuable player, once the reviews are posted at the rate of 1 player a day):
| A Kostitsyn | Kovalev | |||
| Higgins | Ryder | |||
| Latendresse | Smolinski | S Kostitsyn | ||
| Begin | | |||
| Stewart | ||||
| Murray | ||||
Markov | ||||
| Hamrlik | ||||
| Bouillon | ||||
| O'Byrne | ||||
Friday, September 12, 2008
Losing the Waiting Game
You miss decent signings to hold on for a certain player (or players) then buckle and bring in a player who could be had at any juncture from here?
This is called losing the waiting game.
Robert Lang was reportedly acquired today. But in a trade. So unless other teams were banging down Dale Tallon's door for Lang, this move was not necessary yet. Gainey threw in the cards early and hastily, I feel. Sundin, Shanahan and Selanne are all available and better options.
It hurts to be out when so convinced of the intelligence and strategic nous of taking this patient route. Then, for some reason - done. This is why we didn't sign Brian Rolston (who now looks like the player we needed and could maybe have had)? Heck, "this is why we let Streit go" is just as valid a squawk.
Some team will sign Sundin when he returns and we'll be enjoying the final stages of a once half-decent offensive centre's career.
Still, if we lost the waiting game, we didn't altogether lose the improving game.
In the real world, where Sundin won't sign till midseason, Selanne won't leave California and Shanahan can't see himself in bleu, blanc, rouge, Lang does actually make us a better proposition up front. Lang and Kovalev reunited - also a good thing.
The player who shall remain nameless
That's more than I can say about the other news. It brings up troubling questions when people start arguing Cup:
Is our development system this bereft of talent?
Is our GM fumbling for ideas?
To say our latest signing is hugely disappointing is kind. The only way this works out worse is if old "last Cup winner" gets his free playoff ticket (exit in early round included). I'm too angry to write more on this now. Be sure it will be revisited soon.
In a year where we are taking our hopes to new levels, this news day brings me back down to the ground. Still, could be worse - at least Marc Denis wasn't announced as the starter today.
This is called losing the waiting game.
Robert Lang was reportedly acquired today. But in a trade. So unless other teams were banging down Dale Tallon's door for Lang, this move was not necessary yet. Gainey threw in the cards early and hastily, I feel. Sundin, Shanahan and Selanne are all available and better options.
It hurts to be out when so convinced of the intelligence and strategic nous of taking this patient route. Then, for some reason - done. This is why we didn't sign Brian Rolston (who now looks like the player we needed and could maybe have had)? Heck, "this is why we let Streit go" is just as valid a squawk.
Some team will sign Sundin when he returns and we'll be enjoying the final stages of a once half-decent offensive centre's career.
Still, if we lost the waiting game, we didn't altogether lose the improving game.
In the real world, where Sundin won't sign till midseason, Selanne won't leave California and Shanahan can't see himself in bleu, blanc, rouge, Lang does actually make us a better proposition up front. Lang and Kovalev reunited - also a good thing.
The player who shall remain nameless
That's more than I can say about the other news. It brings up troubling questions when people start arguing Cup:
Is our development system this bereft of talent?
Is our GM fumbling for ideas?
To say our latest signing is hugely disappointing is kind. The only way this works out worse is if old "last Cup winner" gets his free playoff ticket (exit in early round included). I'm too angry to write more on this now. Be sure it will be revisited soon.
In a year where we are taking our hopes to new levels, this news day brings me back down to the ground. Still, could be worse - at least Marc Denis wasn't announced as the starter today.
Friday, August 29, 2008
The Last Legend
He may not have been the last Hall-of-Famer to play for the Habs (that'd be Gilmour in my books). There will be more, but, he is the last legend this franchise of legends has produced so far.
Now, it seems, the organisation is ready to honour his play in Montreal by retiring his number. Yes, according to reports, Patrick Roy's 33 will hang from the highest reaches of the Bell Centre – a building he never played in as a Canadien, though the team had probably hoped he would.
Personally, I think this retirement (should it indeed go ahead) will be a triumph for the younger generation of Habs fans, whose championships are constantly being slighted by nostalgics and aging journos. It can be the "Ours are as worthy as yours" (or something "yours") to the Red Fishers of Montreal fandom who seldom praise anything the Canadiens have done since 1979. For those of us with just as much passion for this team as anyone born in the 1930s, it will be nice to see a number from our less foggy memories.
I, for one, am proud of the mini modern dynasty that the Canadiens put together from 1986 to 1993. Now we know that 3 Cup finals and 2 Cups in 8 years is a difficult achievement, now that there are more than 5 (I generously include the Rangers here) challengers. Detroit is being widely praised for much the same, though they did 4 Cups and 5 finals over 15 years. In a way, the Habs once again blazed the trail for the league – putting the consecutive Cup era to bed. And, I make no mistake, that team was built on and succeeded because of one Patrick Roy. From his precocious heroics in '86 to his psych-out excellence in '89 and '93, he was masterful. His number deserves recognition, as no one else could wear it the same way again.
When will it be?
Assuming the retirement does go ahead, the next logical question is when. Robert L seems to think it will be happening on November 24 against the Islanders. I think I see the meaning there: 24th for the 24th Cup, maybe? Still that choice would leave a lot to be desired.
I thought we should consider the alternatives:
1) Considering we often lose on these ceremonious occasions, why not pick a team we are unlikely to beat anyway? I mean, we don't want to lose to the Isles, do we? I'd say Sharks, Feb. 28 for one we stack up poorly for.
2) How about the 33rd game instead of the 24th? The 33rd game of the season is a home game vs. Carolina on December 21st (Roy vs. Hartford was always key). The 33rd home game is vs. the Devils on March 14th.
3) I don't like the idea of holding on St. Patrick's Day, mainly because despite it being a much-used nickname for Patrick Roy, the day is there to honour a real saint, not a hot-head goalie. The 14th of March would be a compromise like the parade, which seldom happens on the day and has little to do with the religious feast day anymore. The parade would be the 15th.
4) Flames at home on December 9th? A very very obvious choice. Roy faced the Flames twice in Stanley Cup finals with the Canadiens. They were the Canadiens western rivals at the time (mainly because we always stumbled when the Oilers didn't).
5) Anniversaries are always fun. As it happens, the Canadiens have a long home stand coinciding with all the important dates from 1995, including Roy's last game and the day he was traded. Perhaps not the irrelevant Thrashers on the dark anniversary of the Red Wings debacle (December 2nd), but how about the Devils on the anniversary of that awful Thibault trade (December 6th)?
6) Incidentally, December 4th against the NY Rangers will mark the actual date when the centennial season begins – I'm sure they'll have something planned, but if not, how about a sweater raising?
If it's up to me, I go for the Flames game.
It seems to tick most boxes. We will probably not miss the points, as we are poor against western opposition (maybe we can arrange an OTL??). They are a relevant opponent. And, the time of year is meaningful for Roy and the Canadiens to finally bury the hatchet. Call it the anniversary of the day Roy played his next game after his cooling off (in that parallel universe where we had a qualified GM and coach).
Heck, even the headline writers will be happy to have all the flame idioms to choose from.
Now, it seems, the organisation is ready to honour his play in Montreal by retiring his number. Yes, according to reports, Patrick Roy's 33 will hang from the highest reaches of the Bell Centre – a building he never played in as a Canadien, though the team had probably hoped he would.
Personally, I think this retirement (should it indeed go ahead) will be a triumph for the younger generation of Habs fans, whose championships are constantly being slighted by nostalgics and aging journos. It can be the "Ours are as worthy as yours" (or something "yours") to the Red Fishers of Montreal fandom who seldom praise anything the Canadiens have done since 1979. For those of us with just as much passion for this team as anyone born in the 1930s, it will be nice to see a number from our less foggy memories.
I, for one, am proud of the mini modern dynasty that the Canadiens put together from 1986 to 1993. Now we know that 3 Cup finals and 2 Cups in 8 years is a difficult achievement, now that there are more than 5 (I generously include the Rangers here) challengers. Detroit is being widely praised for much the same, though they did 4 Cups and 5 finals over 15 years. In a way, the Habs once again blazed the trail for the league – putting the consecutive Cup era to bed. And, I make no mistake, that team was built on and succeeded because of one Patrick Roy. From his precocious heroics in '86 to his psych-out excellence in '89 and '93, he was masterful. His number deserves recognition, as no one else could wear it the same way again.
When will it be?
Assuming the retirement does go ahead, the next logical question is when. Robert L seems to think it will be happening on November 24 against the Islanders. I think I see the meaning there: 24th for the 24th Cup, maybe? Still that choice would leave a lot to be desired.
I thought we should consider the alternatives:
1) Considering we often lose on these ceremonious occasions, why not pick a team we are unlikely to beat anyway? I mean, we don't want to lose to the Isles, do we? I'd say Sharks, Feb. 28 for one we stack up poorly for.
2) How about the 33rd game instead of the 24th? The 33rd game of the season is a home game vs. Carolina on December 21st (Roy vs. Hartford was always key). The 33rd home game is vs. the Devils on March 14th.
3) I don't like the idea of holding on St. Patrick's Day, mainly because despite it being a much-used nickname for Patrick Roy, the day is there to honour a real saint, not a hot-head goalie. The 14th of March would be a compromise like the parade, which seldom happens on the day and has little to do with the religious feast day anymore. The parade would be the 15th.
4) Flames at home on December 9th? A very very obvious choice. Roy faced the Flames twice in Stanley Cup finals with the Canadiens. They were the Canadiens western rivals at the time (mainly because we always stumbled when the Oilers didn't).
5) Anniversaries are always fun. As it happens, the Canadiens have a long home stand coinciding with all the important dates from 1995, including Roy's last game and the day he was traded. Perhaps not the irrelevant Thrashers on the dark anniversary of the Red Wings debacle (December 2nd), but how about the Devils on the anniversary of that awful Thibault trade (December 6th)?
6) Incidentally, December 4th against the NY Rangers will mark the actual date when the centennial season begins – I'm sure they'll have something planned, but if not, how about a sweater raising?
If it's up to me, I go for the Flames game.
It seems to tick most boxes. We will probably not miss the points, as we are poor against western opposition (maybe we can arrange an OTL??). They are a relevant opponent. And, the time of year is meaningful for Roy and the Canadiens to finally bury the hatchet. Call it the anniversary of the day Roy played his next game after his cooling off (in that parallel universe where we had a qualified GM and coach).
Heck, even the headline writers will be happy to have all the flame idioms to choose from.
Friday, August 22, 2008
Moustache Trumps Mullet
At some point in the late 90s, someone changed the rules.
Someone forgot to tell Vadim Menkov of Uzbekhistan this simple rule. Pride of Pointe-Claire, Tom Hall paddled his way to an inspiring bronze-medal finish in an Olympics he made by the skin of his teeth.
It just goes to show, that hard work, determination and belief go a long way in any sporting arena.
Perhaps not as moustachioed as he has ever been, Tom still taught the man with the Tennessee Top Hat a lesson about finishing. Though credit must go to the Uzbeki, who blazed ahead off the line and only missed a medal by a couple of yards. I hope you got a chance to see the race live, as I did. It's always great to see someone from home in an Olympic final.
If watching Menkov is making you long for the days where mullets did rule the arenas of the world, perhaps you should remember that it was our own Jacques Demers who changed the rules of trumping.
Congratulations again Tom from Lions in Winter.
Someone forgot to tell Vadim Menkov of Uzbekhistan this simple rule. Pride of Pointe-Claire, Tom Hall paddled his way to an inspiring bronze-medal finish in an Olympics he made by the skin of his teeth.
It just goes to show, that hard work, determination and belief go a long way in any sporting arena.
Perhaps not as moustachioed as he has ever been, Tom still taught the man with the Tennessee Top Hat a lesson about finishing. Though credit must go to the Uzbeki, who blazed ahead off the line and only missed a medal by a couple of yards. I hope you got a chance to see the race live, as I did. It's always great to see someone from home in an Olympic final.
If watching Menkov is making you long for the days where mullets did rule the arenas of the world, perhaps you should remember that it was our own Jacques Demers who changed the rules of trumping.
Congratulations again Tom from Lions in Winter.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)