Friday, May 10, 2013

Ottawa-Montreal Game #5:

Possession Statistics

For completeness: the stats from the final Canadiens game of 20(12)-13:

Canadiens Possession Boxscore

    • What you see is a team that couldn't have done much better at even strength
    • That is if you believe all shots from a given location are equal and that all goaltenders given the same shots will perform in the same way
    • Both those inconvenient facts haunt the Canadiens into the summer
    • Galchenyuk was the man again, small wonder he was still reserved for something else
    • Second line failed the team on this night, even Gallagher who was sucked into the pacioretty black hole
    • The decision to play Tinordi must have had everything to do with the future. to the eye and by the stats he was roasted


    Senators Possession Boxscore

    • Ottawa scord on their chances
    • When you do that, you tend not to worry about padding your "possession" stats, even when you have possession
    • Was Gonchar the worst defender on the ice? No he wasn't
    • The Sens 4th line deserves much credit for becoming a factor and a story in this series. Post-Eller, it was the Senators depth that caused the problems


    Danger +/-: Dangerous shots (aka scoring chances or shots from within the homeplate) against subtracted from dangerous shots for when a given player is on the ice. See this as the balance of dangerous play when said player was on the ice, which is exactly what Danger +/- sounds like it should be.

    Corsi: This is shots + missed shots + shots blocked against subtracted from the same stats for when a given player is on the ice. It is the standard for possession statistics.

    LIW O: A weighted approach to attempts for when a given player is on the ice. Different weights are given to goals, dangerous shots, other shots (not dangerous), missed shots and blocked shots. The sum is indexed to league averages at even strength with 0.00 as the average. A score above 0.00 is an above average offensive contribution. A score below is below average.

    LIW D: The same as LIW D, but for attempts against when a given player is on the ice.

    LIW Score: LIW O + LIW D. This combined scored gives us an idea whether the player in question performed above or below the average NHL level.

    Dome: A Y indicates the player was a dome selection

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